9:30 – Tipsarevic v F Lopez
Rankings are 38 and 43. Head to heads are 3-1 to Lopez. Tipsarevic won their only clay court meeting which was at the French Open in 2009. That was the last match that he won on clay.
Tipsarevic starts at 1.54 on Betfair which is way too low against a player who is comfortable on clay. His last match on clay was in May last year and he has lost his last 5 matches on the dirt courts.
Lopez will find the transition to clay much easier than his opponent and I expect him to take advantage of a slow start from Tipsarevic.
On all surfaces (its impossible to compare clay stats as Tips has so few matches) they both serve well at over 85% of service games held. Tipsarevic is the better returner. If you do look at stats on clay only then Tipsarevic’s stats drop dramatically but he only played 2 matches in 12 months and lost them both.
This really should start at evens and so 1.54 calls for a lay of Tipsarevic from the start. I expect the Spaniard to have a very good chance of victory.
Update: Early in the match Both were playing well and both had chances to put their opponent’s serve under pressure but it was Tipsarevic who got a break mid way through the set. The second set was all Lopez. In the third set Lopez took an early lead but Tipsarevic pulled back to a tie break which Lopez won.
Lopez won 4-6, 6-3, 7-6.
In some of today’s other matches……
Hanescu is a slight underdog to Maximo Gonzalez. Gonzalez won a recent Challenger event and plays almost exclusively on clay. Small back of Hanescu for me although this could be a tight match.
Update: Hanescu took the first set but it was Gonzalez who took the match 3-6, 7-5, 6-1.
Fognini has found some form and can be backed at 1.72 against Anderson. If the dirt slows down Anderson’s serve a little then he will start to make errors trying to win the points with big ground strokes instead.
Update: Fognini won 3-6, 6-2, 6-2.
Ljubicic has a great chance against Tsonga but is seen as underdog on Betfair at 2.64 . He seems to be playing smarter as his “old” bones slow him down a little. Expect some great touch around the net as well as some big groundstrokes. Lay Tsonga.
Update: Ljubicic won 7-6, 6-4.