Rome 2013, Friday

The betting tips were let down a little yesterday by Gasquet losing in 3 sets to Janowicz. We had a win, a loss and a void.Current month’s ROI is 14%.

 

Some very uninspiring matches and prices today with 6 of the 8 having a favourite below 1.21 . However as we say with Del Potro yesterday these prices can get overturned.

First up is Paire v Granollers. Paire was the Del P slayer. Del Potro was rusty to say the least. Paire starts at 1.59 which feels way too low. Granollers has won their last 2 meetings in straight sets.

Granollers impressed me yesterday though his second set 1-6 loss came out of nowhere. Chardy’s form in that match was up and down.

Worth a lay from the start.

Update: Complete no show from Granollers. Paire was excellent but he met no resistance.

Paire won 6-1, 6-0.

 

Nadal and Ferrer meet again. Has Ferrer worked out how to beat Nadal? He came pretty close last time and we have seen the KIng of Clay being given a hard time more often than usual. I’m not sure Gulbis will ever play a better set than his first against Nadal yesterday and he maintained a high level for the next 2 sets but it wasn’t quite enough.

Ferrer himself came close to leavig the tournament when Verdasco found some of his old form. Ferrer stood strong though and was rewarded by a walkover in the next round when Kohlschreiber pulled out with vertigo (!).

I’m hoping for another close match or at least a close first set and will lay Nadal if he drops to 1.1 early. Realistically I don’t expect Ferrer to beat him but another opening set win would be great.

Update: Ferrer gave us a second set win which doesn’t give such a big price move as him winning the second. Good effort but Nadal too strong.

Nadal won 6-4, 4-6, 6-2.

 

Stosur has never beaten Azarenka but then she had never beaten Kvitova until last night.  She has also only taken 1 set in their 7 matches but that was in their most recent.

Stosur has been much more reliable than we are used to seeing from her.

Azarenka can implode at any time as we saw recently against Makarova. She has looked better this week but hasn’t faced a tough test as yet. Today’s match will certainly be a test and 1.20 is a lay for me.

Update: Stosur won the first break but couldn’t hold on to it. Azarenka levelled and broke again to take the set. Set 2 was all about Stosur and she took it 6-1. Azarenka won a tight decider.

Azarenka won 6-4, 1-6, 6-3.

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