Rome Masters – Final

15:00 – Nadal v Ferrer

 

Rankings are 3 and 17. Head to heads are 10-3 in Nadal’s favour. He has won their last 6 matches.

 

Nadal brought Gulbis’ amazing run to an end but it took him 3 sets.

 

Ferrer beat an in-form Verdasco in straight sets having done the same with all his opponents this week including Tsonga and Murray in the previous 2 rounds.

 

Nadal knows Ferrer’s game inside out and his fellow Spaniard will offer no surprises to him. He wasn’t the first to be surprised by Gulbis this week and I’m sure we’ll be seeing Gulbis climb the rankings over the coming months.

 

Ferrer also has the mental hurdle of not being able to get near Nadal for the past 3 years.

 

A starting price of 1.13 doesn’t offer much reward for backing Nadal from the start. Perhaps the best hope is to wait for Ferrer to get a break of serve before backing Nadal.  Ferrer is in great form and that is possible.

 

Difficult to see anything but a Nadal win ( but often when I say that the game goes the other way!)

 

Update:  Close first set but a one sided second. Nadal won 7-5, 6-2.

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