Saturday 13th July 2013 – Semi Finals

As usual I will try to avoid matches that appear in the Shark Tips for today.

 

Scheepers and Meusburger meet in Budapest. two players who can serve well but have had a lot of issues from the line this week. Scheepers in particular has been taking an age between first and second serve suggesting a lack of confidence in that second serve.

Despite those problems Scheepers  has lost just 1 set this week which was to promising teenager Kovinic. She took the third set in a tie break.

Meusburger needed 3 sets to get past Larsson but has also lost just 1 set so far. Beck pushed her hard in their first set yesterday but faded badly in the second.

Lots of swings in this one. Lots of breaks and  lots of deuces as they struggle to get the job done on serve.

I am favouring Meusburger but I need a price below 1.40 to lay Scheepers early.

Update: 4 of the first 5 games were breaks. Meusburger was actually only broken once in the entire match!

Meusburger won 6-2, 6-2.

 

De Bakker would appear to have found Djokovic’s secret stash of magic chocolates. Having seen him play recently I was surprised to see him beat Schwartzman in round 1. You can imagine my surprise when he beat Troicki in the second round and by the time it looked like he would beat Berdych in straight sets I was just shaking my head in disbelief.

The market isn’t convinced and he starts as underdog against Berlocq at 3.00 ..

Berlocq has immensely more experience on the clay than his opponent. Stats for the last month favour Berlocq in every significant category but based on De Bakker’s play so far this week you have to feel that Berlocq is too low.

I would be surprised if De Bakker wins this but as i said above he has surprised me 3 times already. Berlocq is more of a clay specialist than De Bakker’s previous opponents but this will be close.

Update: Berlocq was broken first but he broke back and another late break gave him the set.

Berlocq won 7-5, 6-3.

 

I don’t expect Halep, Vinci or Errani to have too many problems today although Zakopalova has foiled me twice this week in my tips and will probably push Errani’s price a fair bit above her SP of 1.18 .

 

Hanescu and Kohlschreiber last met at the French Open. Kohlschreiber won 6-0, 7-6, 6-1 so you can understand his SP of 1.37 but Hanescu is performing well this week. Both players have to be in the right mood to play well and both have looked up for the challenge.

I think we will see much closer sets than at the French and Hanescu taking a set is a real possibility but as long as Kohlschreiber plays at the same level as he did against Monfils he should come through in 3 sets.

Update: Kohlschreiber won 6-3, 6-3.

 

In Newport Mahut looks good to reach the final. Russell has looked impressive as he often does on home soil but Mahut’s variety should prove too much for the American.

I have only seen one of John Isner’s matches this week which was against Mannarino and he looked in good form. Not only his serve was working well but he was hitting some huge ground strokes.

Defending champ Isner beat Hewitt in last year’s final. The Aussie is probably in better shape this year and is loving his time on the grass. He has lost just 1 set which was yesterday against Hernych in a tie break.

I think even Hewitt will struggle to get a break today. Isner has not had a single break point against him all week.

Isner in 2 tie breaks.

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