18:00 – Nadal v Roddick
Nadal seems to be getting nearer his best form. His victory over Tsonga in the quarter final was more emphatic than anyone predicted. His self confidence appears to be growing with every match.
Roddick seemed comfortable against Almagro in his quarter final. His serve was very effective but he seems to lack the variety of ground strokes that he will need to beat Nadal. Roddick is yet to lose a set this week though.
Nadal wins 89% of his service games and Roddick win 91%.
Back both players on serve. I would recommend closing the trade if the server is 2 points behind in the game. There should be plenty of opportunities to get any small losses back in the next games. I also recommend placing all trades on Nadal’s ladder as most of the traders’ money will be going onto that side.
Nadal is a strong favourite to reach the final.
Update: Nadal started the stronger and was soon a break of serve up. He took the first set and it all looked very predictable.
The second set was going with serve until Nadal was serving at 3-4. Roddick broke serve and then served out the set.
In the decider it was tough to call which way it was going. Roddick’s serve was generally working well and he was also receiving slightly better of the two. Nadal wasn’t happy with himself and Roddick again won a break point. The remaining games were tight but Roddick held on for an unexpected victory.
Midnight – Berdych v Soderling
Rankings are 20 and 7. Head to heads are 6-2 to Soderling.
Soderling beat Youzhny in convincing style last night. His serve wasn’t firing for a great deal of the match but his ground strokes did the job. Some of the hitting was little short of brutal.
Berdych started poorly in the last game and I suggested in the chatroom that maybe he was thinking about his win over Federer rather than getting himslf mentally prepared for his game with Verdasco.
He turned it round but that is 2 tough 3 setters against top players. That could have taken its toll and Soderling may be one match too many.
Soderling wins 87% of service games and Berdych 88%. They both need to improve their serves from the last games. Soderling’s ground strokes look superior to Berdych’s and they could be the difference.
Back Soderling on serve.
Update: A decent number of traders in the chatroom started with the same plan. Back Soderling. That plan was soon changed! Soderling just wasn’t himself. His serve wasn’t working, his grounstrokes were hitting the net or sailing a couple of metres wide.
Berdych was playing very consistent tennis and was soon in a convincing lead. He took the first set.
In the second set Soderling looked like coming to life and was playing a little more like how you’d expect. It didn’t last long and Berdych was able to break although he wasted several break points before completing a break.
Most people in the chatroom seemed to have a decent profit from the game which was great to see.
Superb performance from Berdych. He won 6-2, 6-2.