Sony Ericsson Open, Miami – Monday

18:00 – Petzschner v Tipsarevic

Rankings are 66 and 44. Head to heads are 2-0 to Petzschner. Their last match was in this tournament last year and Petzschner won 6-4, 6-0.

As my usual stats site, TennisInsight has been down for a couple of days I am limited as to what stats I can get for the matches.

They hold serve 80% and 86%. Tipsarevic is a better returner of serve.

Based on matches this week it appears Petzschner is in good form which usually means his serve is working well. He beat Melzer in straight sets in the last round although the Austrian is well below his best. He reached the quarter finals in Dubai last month.

Tipsarevic was less than impressive in his last match which saw him beat Cilic in straight sets but was full of double faults and unforced errors. I am hoping that this was simply down to the  fact that he had never beaten Cilic before and that was playing on his mind. Cilic made the job much easier by playing like a complete plank.

Tipsarevic reached the final of Delray Beach losing to Del Potro. From memory he seems to perform well in the American hard court leg of the tour.

I expect this to be quite tight so don’t want to take a position from the start. I will be watching to see how the opening 2 or 3 games go. As long as Tipsarevic starts better than in his last match I would expect him to win. We should bear in mnd that he is facing another opponent that he hasn’t beaten before although I am sure he believes he can win this one.

If they are holding comfortably then bak Tipsarevic on serve. It is also an option to back Petzschner’s serve but be careful if you do as Tipsarevic is usually good at dealing with big serves.

Due to Petzschner’s good form this last week this could easily go to 3 sets so laying the first set winner is a decent strategy. Avoid this though if the first set is very one sided although I think this in unlikely.

Update: Petzschner was poor in the first set and really didn’t improve a great deal in the second.

Tipsarevic won 6-3, 6-3.

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