10:00 – Mathieu v Becker
Rankings are 109 and 57. Head to heads are 1-0 to Mathieu.
Not too much to seperate these two which is reflected in the evens price on Betfair.
Over the last month they have held serve 78% and 82%. Points won against serve are both 34%. Mathieu has created more break chances but Becker has converted a higher percentage of break opportunities.
Becker started well against Stakhovsky yesterday but allowed his opponent back into the match. Mathieu started slowly and was 2-4 down in the first. I didn’t follow that match but he came back to win in straight sets.
I expect Becker to start the better of the two and for him to take the opening set. Set 2 will be very close and I can see Becker taking it to win in straight sets.
Backing Becker on serve is a good option. While the odds are around evens you need to be careful as a break or potential break will move the price a long way against you.
Wait for the Break is an option here.