Sunday 23rd Sep – Men’s Finals

Laura Robson came very close to winning her first main tour event yesterday. She saved 5 match points in the second set and took the match into a third set. She raced to a 3-0 lead against a tiring opponent. Unfortunately, perhaps due to lack of experience, she let the lead slip away and with it the match. A great week for the 18 year old though and I’m sure she will be racing up the rankings in the next 12 months.

 

Onto today’s men’s finals and I think most people will have expected a Youzhny / Fognini end to the week in Russia. However Martin Klizan had other ideas and won a very tight match in a third set tie break.

Fognini has looked pretty solid all week and has only dropped 1 set which was his first set of the week.

Klizan starts as favourite on Betfair but whilst he beat the top seed he was aided by Youzhny’s poor performance on serve. Klizan himself served for the first set but was broken. In the third set he served for the match and was broken again.

Foggy can also be unreliable when in a strong position although hasn’t shown so much of this trait this week.

Klizan has the bigger serve and more powerful groundstrokes. He has had some excellent wins recently including Tsonga at the US Open and I have to give him the edge today. A concern is the MTO against Youzhny although that was probably more to break the Russian’s momentum.

I’d prefer to back over evens but will have part stake on him from the start.

Update: No higher price for us. Klizan took a 4-0 lead and easily took the set. In the second set there were more breaks than holds ( 6 breaks) and Klizan took the match in straight sets.

Klizan won 6-2, 6-3.

 

In France it’s the Tsonga and Seppi show.

When Monfils took the opening set from Seppi in their semi final it didn’t look good for Seppi. It was the first time the Frenchman had held his opening service game all week! ( I think). However a double break gave Seppi the second set and a single break mid way through the deciding set gave him a  place in today’s final.

This is Tsonga’s first tournament since his disappointing 2nd round exit from the US Open at the hands of Klizan. He has lost just 1 set which was in the semi with Davydenko. Having won the first set 6-0 Tsonga maybe relaxed a little too much and Davy levelled the match.

Tsonga leads the head to heads 2-1 and has won their 2 most recent matches, both in 2011.

Seppi is no longer seen as just a claycourter and as I keep saying on here he has improved his hard court game immensely. However his form had dipped a little in recent weeks. This week he has found his serve again and has looked pretty solid from the line. I don’t think this will be easy for Tsonga and I can see Seppi taking a set but I have to go for Tsonga to win on home soil.

Update: Even more one sided than the first final. Tsonga won each set with a double break.

Tsonga won 6-1, 6-2.

 

    Trading Guide

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