Gastein Ladies – Mayr-Achleitner v Martinez Sanchez
Martinez Sanchez has looked shaky on more than one occasion this week. She needed three sets to get past Meusburger and made bad starts in her previous 2 matches. Her semi final was perhaps the most straight forward although she had to come through a tie break in the second set.
Mayr-Achleitner has yet to lose a set and has been hitting the ball very well especially on her forehand. She is also playing in front of her home crowd which will give her a boost.
Mayr hasn’t really been tested this week but seems more motivated than any other player. Martinez Sanchez has more expereince of the big matches but I won’t be surprised to see her make another slow start. I think she will feel rushed by the Austrian’s big serve returns and could take time to work them out. So I am going for a lay from the start on M S. Whether Mayr has the mental strength to close out the match is uncertain but she doesn’t seem to be lacking in confidence.
If I had to pick a winner I’d go with the more experienced Martinez Sanchez.
Update: Hands up who predicted a bagel! Martinez Sanchez won 6-0, 7-5.
Swedish Open – Soderling v Ferrer
Soderling came through his semi final with the loss of just 1 game. Berdych didn’t turn up for that match but he won’t have it so easy in the final. Ferrer made Alamgro look very ordinary and is in great form.
They played in the semi final last year and Soderling won in 3 sets. He has won their last 2 matches on clay and also leads the head to heads 9-4.
The crowd will obviously be behind Soderling but that won’t bother Ferrer. This is the man who hits balls at crying babies after all.
This is the match of the day and I expect a close one. Soderling’s serve has been working well and that makes him a tough opponent for anyone. I think if he keeps the serve consistent then he wins in 2 tight sets.
Update: Surprisingly one sided. Soderling won 6-2, 6-2.
Mercedes Cup – Ferrero v Andujar
Its good to see Ferrero in a final again after his injury issues. He has played some great tennis at times this week but has had problems on serve.
Andujar took out defending champion Montanes and made short work of local but Stebes in the quarter final.
These two have played before but that was in 2007 and Ferrero retired after 3 games.
Andujar has been fairly impressive this week too although Kubot had chances to beat him in the semi final and perhaps should have done so.
I can’t see Ferrero losing this. The former world number 1 has been in this position so many times that his experience will be a massive advantage. However if he continues to have dodgy serving games it will be a close run thing.
Its not easy to give an entry point without seeing the start of the match but if you can get evens on Ferrero in the first 2 or 3 games I’d take it.
Update: Ferrero won 6-4, 6-0. Not often you see bagels in finals and we have 2 in a day.
Palermo – Hercog v Medina Garrigues
Hercog is in great form and is clearly loving he winning streak. She won in Sweden last week and must fancy her chances of back to back titles. The only set she has lost was the very first one of the week but she has been excellent since then.
Medina Garrigues has also lost just 1 set this week which was in her quarter final with Begu.
Hercog starts as favourite on Betfair but 1.58 feel too low especially for a final. She should be harder to break than her opponent and there is no reason why her form from the last couple of week should drop today.
Hercog is more reliable and I expect her to win in 2 tight sets or maybe in 3.
Update: Hercog finally ran out of steam. Medina Garrigues won 6-3, 6-2.