Open 13 – 14:15
Del Potro v Llodra:
Head to heads are 2-0 to Del Potro. They last played on the 13th Feb in Rotterdam. Del Potro won that in 3 sets.
Llodra has proved to be very difficult to break this week. He has lost just 1 set and all 9 sets have either been settled in a tie break or by a single break of serve. In yesterday’s semi final Tipsarevic had 5 set points i the second set but wasted them all. Nerves almost got the better of Llodra in that tie break but when he finally had amatch point he took it.
Del Potro beat Tsonga in 3 sets. It wasn’t a classic by any means with the error counts being quite high.
In their match in Rotterdam all 3 sets were close. Llodra’s level has lifted this week as it usually does in Marseille. This match will probably have a tie break and the other sets will b 6-4. A couple of points either way could decide the match.
Del Potro starts at 1.25 which has to be a lay fo me. Value is most certainly with Llodra.
Update: A break in each set as enough for Del Potro. He won 6-4, 6-4.
Copa Claro – 19:00
Ferrer v Almagro
Ferrer leads the head to heads 8-0.
Almagro has won 10 in a row on clay and 17 in a row in South America. He played a pretty good match against Wawrinka to win in 3 sets.
Ferrer was just superb against Nalbandian. It was pretty much a masterclass on how to play and win on clay. In 5 matches on clay Almagro has won just 2 sets against Ferrer.
Only one winner here. Almagro may take a set in a tie break.
Update: Almagro won an early break and hung on to take the set. In the second it was Ferrer’s turn for an early break. He levelled at 1 set each.
Ferrer got a double break in the third. He won 4-6, 6-3, 6-2.
Memphis – 21:00
Melzer v Raonic:
This will be interesting! Melzer was able to read Isner’s serve quite easily. He was using the server’s speed against him and taking the ball early. How will he cope with the Canadian’s serve which is at least on a par with Isner’s?
Raonic has won 15 of his 16 matches in 2012. He lost in the final last year in 3 sets to Roddick. He already has 2 titles in 2012.
Isner seemed to think that his serve was going to get the job done against Melzer. However the Austrian was able to read it and make effective returns. The speed of the returns was forcing Isner to rush his ground strokes which exposed his poor reaction speed. Even if Melzer is able to read Raonic’s serve Raonic’s ground strokes are far better than Isner’s.
If Melzer’s broken toe continues to give him no trouble ( he only feels pain when he slides/stops quickly on his right foot) then he will make a close match of this.
Raonic is a class above Isner and I think he will come through. I won’t be surprised to see Melzer take a set in a tie break though.
Monterrey – 23:00
Cadantu v Babos:
I’ll be honest I don’t think I ever heard of Cadantu! Babos however impressed me at this time last year. I was surprised not to have seen more of her since but she has excelled this week.
Babos has won 6 of her last finals. I think she will take this but bear in mind I know nothing of her opponent!