30th March 2015

ATP Miami Open, 16:00 – Goffin v Janowicz

Head to heads are 1-1. The most recent was this season on an indoor hard court and  Goffin won in 2 sets. Janowicz won on a hard court last year.

Goffin has struggled with his form this season but we saw an improvement in his last match. He lost just 1 point on his first serve although his first serve percentage was low at 45%. He didn’t face a single break point.

Janowicz  came through a 3 setter with Bautista Agut as underdog in the last round. It was a close match with each player breaking 3 times.

This should also be a close match and is a likely 3 setter. If Goffin’s serve remains as strong as yesterday then he is favourite. He looked injury free in the last round so perhaps we can expect a consistently higher level from now.

Back Goffin if he goes a break behind. He starts around 1.60 .




WTA Miami Open, 19:00 – Pliskova v Gavrilova

Pliskova hasn’t won her matches as easily as she really should have.I just get the feeling she is due a poor match.

Gavrilova has beaten Sharapova and Nara so far. She has been playing above her usual levels. Her second serve should give Pliskova some chances.

Pliskova will need to be focused and Gavrilova will keep the sets close. Wait for a higher entry price on Pliskova. Ideally an early break for Gavroliva will give us our price. Pliskova starts around 1.44 .



ATP Miami Open, 22:00 – Simon v Falla

Head to heads are  2-2. Simon won both their outdoor hard court matches but Falla won their most recent meeting on an indoor hard court in 2013.

Simon has been more consistent this year and leads the season stats. He served well in the last round but was taken to 3 sets by Kukushkin. He won the 3rd set 6-0.

Falla has come through the qualifying rounds and beat Karlovic in 2 sets in the last round. That wasn’t really unexpected as these slower courts don’t suit Karlovic.

Simon starts around 1.26 and It is worth laying him as his price is too low. Falla has been serving well and can easily nick at least a set.

    Trading Guide

13th February 2015

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WTA BNP Paribas Fortis Diamond Games, 13:00 – Pliskova v Safarova

Safarova usually starts the season well but she hasn’t done this year. yesterday’s win over Mladenovic was her first victory in 2015. She served exceptionally well losing just 2 points on her first serve and winning 69% of points on her second.

Pliskova as expected has served well in her two matches this week. She was still broken 3 times by Beck in the  last round though. Several of the women were in action at the weekend in Fed Cup matches so be careful of Pliskova running out of steam.

This is their first meeting on a hard court. Safarova starts at 1.66 but we could easily see that trading higher in the first set. Pliskova won’t want 3 sets today so is likely to come out swinging in the first few games.

Tough one to call pre match as it depends a lot on Pliskova’s energy levels but Safarova winning in 3 looks a possibility.



WTA BNP Paribas Fortis Diamond Games, 14:30 – Suarez Navarro v Schiavone

This is the third time these two have met. Each match has been a quarter final but this is the first one away from the clay. They have one win each.

Schiavone made a poor start to 2014 but she is on fire at the start of this season. She already has 5 wins at this tournament as she had to come through the qualifying rounds. She beat the promising Dodin in the qualies and Koukalova and Kerber in the main draw. I thought she would do well against Kerber but wasn’t expecting 6-1, 6-1!

Carla struggled in her last match with Niculescu. Despite have won both their previous meetings she seemed confused by Niculescu’s slice and couldn’t find any consistency. However after the first set Niculescu received treatment for her back and wasn’t able to serve as she had been.  Niculescu won just 2 more games in the next 2 sets.

Suarez Navarro starts at 1.65 but I don’t think she will have an easy day at the office. She has started slowly in both her matches this week and that is nothing new to her. When Schiavone is confident she can be a formidable presence and if Carla is a little unsure of herself she could feel intimidated.

It should be a close one. Three sets would be no surprise but I have to favour Schiavone.




ATP Memphis Open, 19:00 – Young v Tomic

Both had good wins in the last round. Tomic came from a break down in the second set to beat Dolgopolov in straights. Young beat fellow American Kudla also in straight sets.

Young will have the crowd behind him but it hasn’t helped him much in previous years. His record in Memphis is poor.

The stats for the last 6 months favour Young in every category except service holds.

Tomic starts at 1.62 which too low but if he can maintain his current level of play he should take this. 1.85 is a fairer price on him.





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