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WTA Indian Wells, Qualifying: Bonaventure v Danilovic

Due to start at 10 pm

Bonaventure 2.54, Danilovic 1.62

This will be their first meeting.

Danilovic’s 12 month overall results are a little stronger although her best results were on clay. She doesn’t have much experience on hard courts. Bonaventure has much stronger results in 2019. She has won 68% of her matches compared to 37% for Danilovic.

Danilovic has only played 12 hard court matches as a pro. She won 5 of them and 1 of her 4 this season.

Ysaline Bonaventure
Ysaline Bonaventure

All Bonaventure’s hard court wins this year have been in qualifying rounds.  She has won 68% of her matches this season and 6 of her 9 hard court matches.  She made it through the qualifying rounds in Acapulco last week and took McHale to 3 sets in the main draw.

Some value on Bonaventure and I think she takes at least a set. Lay Danilovic around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90.

Update: Great match! Bonaventure took a 3-0 lead but Danilovic won the next 3 games. They ended up in a tie break and Danilovic took a 6-1 lead. Bonaventure took the next 6 points and had a set point on her own serve but couldn’t take it. Danilovic took the tie break 10-8. 

Danilovic took a 3-1 lead in the next 2 sets but Bonaventure took them both to win 6-7, 6-4, 6-4.

    Trading Guide

ATP Dubai: Cilic v Monfils

Due to start at 3 pm

Cilic 1.95, Monfils 2.02

Monfils has won all 3 of their previous matches. The last time they played was in February 2018 in Rio. He won on clay in straight sets.

Monfils won the title in Rotterdam last week and also reached the semi finals the week before that.  That’s a lot of tennis in 2 weeks. There has to be some fatigue.  Both those tournaments were indoors. His hard court results are not as good.  He did reach the quarter final in Dubai in 2017.

Marin Cilic
Marin Cilic

Cilic reached the fourth round at the Australian Open last month. His hard court results in the last 12 months and also in 2019 are much stronger. he has not played in Dubai since 2010 but reached the quarter finals in his last 2 visits.

This looks a good price on Cilic despite their previous meetings. Monfils is unlikely to be sharp after his 2 long weeks. I will place a part stake on Cilic at the start and I will add more at 2.30.

    Trading Guide

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