Tennis picks Monday 4th Jan

As expected the money came into the markets late with the seeded players picking up the lion’s share. However most of the games didn’t get up to the required 50K at the start and didnt get over that by the end of the match.

 

The downside of that is that obviously most of the seeds are at low odds.

 

Roddick’s match will attract money but his starting odds of 1.11 against a rank outsider doesn’t offer much incentive unless you back him in the sets market to win in straight sets. He played yesterday in the doubles and seemed to be fit.

 

Update: Roddick won in straight sets as expected but was taken to a tie break in the first set.

 

13:30 – Moya v Tipsarevic

 

Tipsarevic is ranked 38 and Moya  doesn’t have a world ranking.

 

Tipsarevic ended the season quite well and is pretty solid on serve. If he has had no setbacks in his preparation such as niggling injuries or illness then I would expect him to c0me through this match.

 

Back him on serve or wait for a break of serve before backing him.

 

Update: Tipsarevic won 6-3, 7-6. Greening up at the end of the first set would have saved any stress in the second set.

 

 [ad#post-link-blended]

 

16:00 – Ram v De Bakker

 

Rankings are 79 and 96.  They have never met.

 

2 unremarkable players who can be very inconsistent. I would expect Ram to win so if there is a 15-40 opportunity with Ram about to break serve, take it. Alternatively wait for the first break of serve before backing the leading player which should be Ram.

 

The early games of the season can be difficult to predict so care at all times is the safest option.

 

Update: That’s why care should be taken in the early matches! I ended up not trading this one as I was in the middle of another match but it would have been an easy one to trade. Ram must have been poor as he lost 1-6, 1-6. One sided matched where the underdog wins so easily can bring some nice profits.

 

I will post some picks for the evening/night games when I get home this afternoon.

    Trading Guide