15:00 – Gulbis v Garcia-Lopez
Rankings are 25 and 53. Head to heads are 1-0 to Gulbis.
Both players have had a struggle to reach this stage. Gulbis has played just one match but was taken to three sets by Schuettler. Two of the sets were tie breaks.
Garcia-Lopez had to get through a tricky match with Serra in the last round. The 2 sets he won were both 7-5 and he lost the second in a tie break.
They’re both serving well this week but have been finding it tough to break down their opponents serve.
They hold serve 84% and 81% but with first serve percentages below 60%. Their stats on return of serve have been poor with Gulbis winning just 33% of points against serve to Garcia-Lopez’ 38%.
I can see at least 1 tie break here and backing both on serve in the first set should work well.
Impossible to pick a winner with any confidence mainly due to both being poor against serve.