Thursday 21st June – Match picks

So do we assume that any player still in the tournament wants to win? Maybe a little more than earlier in the week although those playing in Eastbourne have hardly any travelling to move over to Wimbledon so who knows?

Muller v Malisse:

Two big servers who have used that serve well this week. Malisse has looked particularly impressive although Lorenzi  and Troicki both gave him a run for his money in their first sets. Both matches finished 7-6, 6-2.

Muller is pretty much all serve and his groundstrokes aren’t anything special. Malisse handles big servers well and his style of play is perfect for grass. His backhand slice is going to cause Muller problems today.

As Malisse starts at 1.72 this will be a good match to back the serve. The danger, of course, is that a break will move massively against you. Alternatively dutch the Malisse 2-0 and 2-1 outcomes in the set betting market as Muller may take a set in a tie break.

Update: Muller actually won a set without a tie break.

Malisse won 6-3, 4-6, 6-1.

 

Bartoli v Safarova:

Bartoli has looked impressive this week although as usual her serve has looked shaky at times. She is defending champion this week and looks motivated to do well again but I am hoping Safarova can get an early break as Bartoli’s starting price is too low at 1.32 . If Watson had been able to hold her nerve a little better she could have taken at least the first set against Safarova. Bartoli would be expected to take her chances much better.

Update: Safarova put up a decent fight but Bartoli was too strong.

Bartoli won 6-4, 6-2.

 

Other matches:

Kerber looks good against Makarova although value is diminishing fast. I will wait for nearer evens on the German whose game is perfectly suited to grass.

Makarova started better but after the early rain delay it was Kerber who handled it best.

Kerber won 6-2, 6-4.

Arvidsson has looked impressive this week but starts as underdog against Ursula Radwanska at 2.46 . Baby Rad is in great form too and has found some consistency at last. I think we will see some swings in the price here so a lay of Rad looks like a plan.

The initial lay worked well as Arvidson broke in the first game. Radwanska broke back immediately and controlled the set from then on. The second set was closer but went Radwanska’s way.

Radwanska won 6-2, 7-6.

Harrison hasn’t managed to take a set from Istomin in their 2 previous matches. The grass is a more level playing field ( hmmm does that work? ) and Harrison has been serving well. Istomin is the better returner though and that should be the difference although I don’t expect many breaks in this one.

The match was carried over to Friday due to rain.

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