Thursday 23rd August 2012

Querrey has never taken a set from Dolgopolov in the 2 matches they have had. All four sets had just one break separating the players. The most recent match was just a couple of weeks ago.

In his last match Querrey  was always one step ahead of Lopez. He showed more than just a big serve with some impressive groundstrokes and passing shots. Dolgopolov will put up more resistance. His win over Nalbandian showed that he is over the hangover from his second title win.

The head to head suggests Dolgopolov as favourite but it is Querrey who starts at 1.92 . This is a tough one to work out. Querrey is in a great run of form and has the support of the home crowd. I suspect Dolgopolov’s price started so high due to his two poor recent losses however  I attribute those directly too him winning only his second main tour title immediately before the 2 consecutive losses.

I am going for Dolgopolov to get the win but don’t expect to see many breaks. We can back both on serve bearing in mind you are likely too get caught by a break if you trade  every game. I recommend not backing servers after 4-4.

I will look to get a lay on Querrey below 1.60 and hopefully trade out when Dolgopolov takes the set.

Update: It was Querrey who won the first break but Dolgopolov broke straight back. Both players had further chances but with Dolgopolov serving to take the set into a tie break Querrey broke for the set.

A lay of the American at that stage proved very profitable as Dolgopolov won an early break and held on for the set. However it was Querrey who took the decider.

Querrey won 7-5, 4-6, 7-6.

 

Safarova and Kvitova are two Czech lefties who have never played before.

With the US Open so close Kvitova has to decide if she wants to put 100%  into this match. A win today will diminish the time remaining to recharge the batteries for New York.

If  you take the US Open out of the equation I think Safarova is in good enough form to keep this very close. Both players will expect to do well next week but Kvitova is the one with the greater realistic chance of still being in contention towards the end of the second week. I’m not sure how close these two ladies are but it seems like a win/win sitution for the Czech camp if Safarova wins today.

I will be laying from the start.

Update: Safarova broke in the very first game but was broken straight back. She didn’t put up very much resistance after that.

Kvitova won 6-3, 6-3.

    Trading Advice