Thursday’s matches

After a great day on Tuesday, Wednesday was a lot tougher. Still a decent profit in the end but took lots of good positions that came to little or nothing. Quite a frustrating day. On day’s like these you just have to tell yourself that you’re making the right decisions and on another day they will bear more fruit 🙂


Nieminen v Wawrinka:

They have played once before back in 2009 and it was Wawrinka who won it on a hard court in 3 sets.

Wawrinka often starts slowly and in fact he has lost the opening set in his last 5 matches ( he won 3 of those matches).

Nieminen had a fairly easy draw in the first round against Copil and won it in straight sets. However he needed a tie break in the second set.

Nieminen likes playing in Stockholm and hasn’t missed this tournament in 12 years. He is always a favourite with the Scandinavian crowds.

Wawrinka’s confidence will have been given a small boost by him taking a set from an unbeatable Murray. He reached the quarter finals last year where he lost in 3 sets to Federer so he has points to defend.

I think there is a good chance that Wawrinka will again start the slower of the 2 players and also Nieminen will come into the matches feeling good but the Swiss player should have enough to get the job done in 2 tight sets or, perhaps more likely, in a 3 set match.

I will be waiting for a higher price than his SP of 1.52 .

Update: Wawrinka did start slowly and was broken in his first service game. The market seemed biased towards Nieminen and it knew what it was doing. A close match but Nieminen came through in straight sets.

Nieminen won 6-3, 6-4.


Dodig v Nalbandian:

Nalbandian won their only previous meeting earlier this month. He won in straight sets.

The Argentinian had a tough match in the last round and had to come back from a set down against Malisse. He won the next 2 sets in tie breaks.

Dodig also needed 2 tie breaks in his last match where he beat Mannarino in straight sets. His serve has been fairly consistent but his return of serve has been average. Here he is up against a great returner so there will be even more pressure on him holding serve.

Its not unusual for Nalbandian to have to work very hard to hold his own serve and this week has been no different but as Dodig has seemed content to rely on just holding his own he will be able to concentrate on breaking his opponent.

This should be a very close match with at least 1 tie break.Nalbandian starts at 1.38 but I would be amazed if he doesn’t trade higher during the first set. I’ll be waiting for that higher price before backing him.

Update: Easy win for Nalbandian 6-1, 6-1.




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