Tuesday 12th February 2013

Youzhny was injured last week in Zagreb. 1.22 is a crazy price against a home player like De Bakker who lost to Youzhny 2 years ago at this event in 2 tight sets. Youzhny also pulled out in the first round of this tournament last year although he had just won the title in Zagreb. This has to be worth a lay and lets hope the Russian struggles through the first set and then quits 😉

Update: Couldn’t be that simple! Youzhny immediately broke serve and continued to dominate the set. In the second set he went a break up again and his price dropped to 1.02 . It was worth a lay there although I only got 1.03 . De Bakker kept fighting and when Youzhny had an MTO things looked hopeful for our lay.

De Bakker took the set to a tie break which he won. In the third set Youzhny had another MTO and this time the market reacted as though he may retire. When De Bakker went a double  break ahead the Russian did retire.

De Bakker won 3-6, 7-6, 4-1(ret)

 

I’m struggling a little to see why Gulbis is favourite against Haase.  Obviously he has the greater talent but how often does he fall short of expectations? Haase played some decent tennis last week but it has to be said he also played some shabby tennis at times too.

Gulbis has had to come through qualifying where he beat Kamke and Stakhovsky.

Haase has lost in the first round in his last 3 visits. the losses were to Davydenko last year, Soderling in 2011 ( remember him?) and Tommy Robredo in 2010 before the Spaniard’s form went south. Haase must feel he has a decent chance in this one in front of his home crowd.

This could be a swingy match as far as the price is concerned and I will feel happier laying Gulbis at a lower price than his 1.77 SP.  I will lay when his price breaks 1.40 and am favouring Haase to get the win.

Update: Ah now I see why he was favourite!

Gulbis won 6-2, 6-1.

 

Vinci was injured during her Fed Cup match at the weekend. Her last match with Wickmayer was back in August on a hard court in Montreal and Vinci won in 3 sets.

Wickmayer has made an excellent start to the new season reaching the final of the ASB Classic in January and also the third round of the Australian Open where she lost in 2 tight sets to Kirilenko.

Vinci has won their last 4 matches but Wickmayer is playing well enough to beat her at the moment even without any injury to the Italian.

Vinci’s price of 1.58 has to be a lay for me although it would obviously be better to lay lower. I will be laying part stake at the start of the match and hope to grab  a lay below 1.40 in the early games.

Update: Vinci did look a little tired and was double faulting more than usual. However Wickmayer never really got her game going and was broken early. She wasted many chances to get back on level terms and Vinci easily took the set.

In the second set it was actually Wickamyer who suddenly looked exhausted and after she was broken she retired.

Vinci won 6-2, 2-1(ret)

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