Tuesday 19th June – Match picks

U Radwanksa v Pennetta:

Both players had to come back from a set down in their first round matches. Radwanska was 4-0 down against Pervak in the first set but almost came back.

Penneta was outplayed in the opening set against Govortsova as her opponent went for winners from almost every shot. Once those big shots started missing the lines Pennetta was able to take control 0f the match.

Radwanska has won 10 of her last 11 matches on grass which isn’t Penneta’s favourite surface. The Italian is in decent form though and this will be a close match.I’ll be hoping for Pennetta to get off to a slow start so I can get on at a higher price as i feel she will be too strong over the course of the whole match for baby Rad.

This could easily be 3 sets.

Update: Oh dear. A lot of favourites aren’t too bothered this week even though many of them need the grass practise.

Radwanksa won 6-1, 6-1( which is more than her sister managed. A Rad lost in straight sets to Pironkova )

 

Querrey v Roddick:

Roddick leads the head to heads 5-2. All their matches have been on hard courts.

6th seed Roddick was handed a wild card entry for this tournament. How poor has he been recently? Since he beat Federer in Miami in March he has lost the next 6 matches. Soeda, Mahut and Roger-Vasselin would normally have little chance against Roddick. 4 of those 6 losses were admittedly on clay which is his least favourite  surface but the courts in Dusseldorf were playing like hard courts.

Querrey had a great week at Queen’s Club beating some tricky opponents in Dodig, Benneteau, Istomin and Rochus before losing in 3 sets to eventual winner Cilic.

Querrey starts as favourite at 1.82 and rightly so. Roddick needs a few wins to get himself back on track. People have often said that without his serve he would be a very ordinary tennis player. We have seen that to be the case in his last few matches.

Querrey is seen by many as a bit of a joke. He isn’t the smartest player on tour but then Mensa don’t have an ATP section. He can look pretty clueless if things aren’t going his way on court but recently things have been going to plan and he has been serving extremely well.

I have read a few opinions that Querrey will let Roddick win this one to help his prep for Wimbledon. I aren’t convinced by that. Querrey has had to put a lot of work and time in on the Challenger tour to rebuild his ranking after the injury and even if he and Roddick are good mates I doubt he will roll over. Aren’t Americans supposed to have that winning attitude drilled into them from infancy?

Roddick has to start serving well at some time and grass is the best surface to help him do that. The problem for him is that he is facing a player who is serving well and if Roddick’s return of serve is failing as I expect it to then his lack of confidence will cripple him.Losing, like winning, becomes a habit.

Roddick’s best chance is to take sets to tie breaks but he needs his serve to turn up to the party. I favour Querrey ton get the win.

Update: Some were suspecting that Querrey was giving the match to Roddick when he was broken early. At 5-2 Querrey retired with a back problem.

Roddick goes through 5-2 (retired)

 

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