Tuesday’s games

If you, like me, have got used to crawling out of bed for 4am starts you could have an extra hour or two in bed from Tuesday. The qualiying rounds for Linz are over and we have main draw matches going into the evening with the last game scheduled to start at 19:30! So you can either trade the whole day from 3am or you could not act like an idiot and pick your working hours to suit yourself.

Also bear in mind that its unlikely that the liquidity in the very early games will be up to much as traders take the opportunity to catch up on a little sleep.

 

Haase v Nishikori:

This could be a good match to watch. Of the 2 players Nishikori has been having greater success over recent weeks with a semi final appearance in the Malaysian open where he  lost to Tipsarevic ( again ).

Haase has had a few first and second round exits and his latest 2 losses to Nieminen and Giraldo were less than impressive.

They have never played before.  Stats over the last 3 months are almost all in favour of Haase with the exception of their tie break record. Haase’s record in tie breaks is 2 from 8. ( Nishikori 2 from 3).

Stats over the last last month are also mainly in favour of Haase but his second serve has struggled. Something I use to work out in play who will win the set is the 2nd serve win %.

More recent form points to Nishikori being in better form and that probably follows that his confidence is high.

Three sets are very likely but I am going for Nishikori to progress.

(1.83)

Update: I don’t know what was going on in the first set but Nishikori didn’t win a game. In the second set Haase took a 2-0 lead and  I was thinking this was going to be my worst ever match pick.

Nishikori fought back and when Haase served for the match at 5-4 his serve was broken for 5-5. Nishikori held easily and then Haase again choked on his own serve. One set all!

There were several swings in the third set but Nishikori took it. I have asked him via Twitter what the problem is but no reply 😉

Nishikori won 0-6, 7-5, 7-6.

 

Tipsarevic v F Lopez:

Head to heads are 4-1 to Lopez. However they have played just once in the last 2 years. That match was in April this year on clay and Lopez won in 3 sets.

Tipsarevic recently won his first main tour title and before that played Davis Cup and reached the quarter finals of the US Open. Last week not surprisingly he lost in the first round. He had played a lot of tennis and was worn out. The doctor gave him antibiotics and ordered bed rest for 3 days. I expect him to be well rested and packed with confidence.

Lopez has been is reasonable form reaching the third round at Flushing Meadows. He lost to Youzhny last week in the second round in China.

If Tipsarevic has followed doctors orders he will be well prepared for this match and on recent form will be too strong for Lopez. Lopez will need his serve to be at its very best to keep him in the match.

Lopez’ serve may take it to 3 sets but Tipsarevic goes through.

(1.55)

Update: Tipsarevic didn’t look as sharp as in recent weeks and was struggling to hold serve. Lopez was serving extremely well and Tipsarevic wasn’t really getting anywhere near breaking serve.

The first set went to a tie break which Lopez won easily 7-2.

Early in the second set Tipsarevic won a break of serve and looked well on his way to levelling the match. Lopez was getting more frustrated with his own errors. however he broke back and the set went to another tie break. Again it was Lopez who held it together better winning the tie break 7-3.

Lopez won 7-6, 7-6.

    Trading Advice