US Open 2012 – week 2 Thursday

It was an eventful evening! Murray was a set and 5-1 down with Cilic playing well. Murray came back to take the set in a tie break and that was just too much for Cilic’s brain to deal with. Murray came through in 4 sets.

I thought Berdych would probably take a set from Federer but I didn’t expect him to take the match! I didn’t see or trade the match as I had to be up early this morning but it sounds like Federer had a shocker as well as Berdych continuing to play well.


Just 2 games tonight.  First up is Tipsarevic v Ferrer. They have played 3 times with Ferrer leading 2-1. The last time they played was 4 years ago and Tipsarevic took that match in straight sets.

Both players have improved their game since that last match. Ferrer has always been consistent but he lacks a big serve that is so useful on this surface. He struggled with his serve  in the early part of his match with Gasquet but the Frenchman couldn’t take advantage enough times.

Tipsarevic can throw down monster serves and he will be the more aggressive player tonight. Will he be able to match Ferrer’s consistency? Probably not so he is likely to be going for some big winners if the rallies start to get longer.

Ferrer’s starting price of 1.39 is too low especially when you consider his wobbles on serve. Tipsarevic will look to punish weaker second serves.

In a best of 3 match I would favour Tipsarevic but best of 5 gives an edge to the Spaniard. I will be laying him at the start but will look for the right time to back him (hopefully) much higher up the ladder.

Update: What a match! Tipsarevic broke serve straight away but then started to play defensively and allowed Ferrer to break back. Ferrer took the set. Tipsarevic then realised he had  to play attacking tennis which was getting him results. I felt that he couldn’t keep that level up but he took the second and third sets. Ferrer took the 4th set and amazingly it went to a 5th set tie break.

Ferrer won 6-3, 6-7, 2-6, 6-3, 7-6.


Del Potro brought Roddick‘s career to a close with a 4 set victory last night. The Argentinian showed a lot of class after the match by taking a back seat and joining the applause as an emotional Roddick signed off.

Next up is Djokovic who hasn’t lost a set so far. Wawrinka was the only player to take 4 games from the Serb in a set but his challenge fizzled out as he retired in the third set.

Djokovic leads the head to heads 5-2 but they are 2-2 in 2011 and 2012.

Del Potro is serving very well and he won’t make things easy for Djokovic. The starting price is 1.18 so we have the option of laying Djokovic or waiting for a higher price to back him. Normally I would say to wait but with some of the strange first sets we have seen this week I will be laying him from the start.

I have to go with Djokovic to take the win, probably in 4 sets.

Update: Djokovic totally controlled the first set but Del Potro took a lead in set 2 and served for the set. He was broken and Djokovic took the set in a tie break.

Djokovic won 6-2, 7-6, 6-4.

    Trading Guide

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