US Open 2013 – week 1, Tuesday

Plenty of drama on the first day! Dan Evans beat Nishikori in straight sets. Gulbis somehow managed to lose in 5 sets against Haider Maurer. It’s probably my fault as I don’t often go into the outright winner markets but had backed him at 440. Whilst I was originally pissed off that I got less than 20 quid matched I’m not quite as unhappy now!

There were a few 5 setters apart from the Gulbis debacle.  Tomic, Rufin, Davydenko, Dodig and Sela all held their nerve to take the 5th.

On the women’s side Suarez Navarro continues to silence the critics as she beats America’s Davis 6-0, 6-0. Torro Flor was a surprise straight sets winner over Erakovic with a bagel in the opening set. There were a total of 7 bagels on the WTA matches.(just one in the ATP matches).

I’m not sure many expected Rybarikova to go out in straight sets to Austria’s Mayr Achleitner and I for one didn’t think I would see a glimpse of the old Venus Williams as she destroyed Flipkens 6-1, 6-2.


Anyway, on to today’s matches!

I think Giorgi is a little low against Cepelova and is likely to trade above evens. She quite likes the big games and events and reached the third round at Wimbledon where she lost to Bartoli. Cepelova has also been in decent form with a recent won over Alison Riske. I’d expect her to start the faster of the two but it will be Giorgi who comes through in the end.

Update: It turned out to be very one sided. Giorgi won  6-2, 6-2.


Hsieh has been having a horrible time lately but is up against the flake that is Zakopalova. Zak can implode at any time and has to be too low at 1.38. It should also be noted that she has been up against some excellent opponents such as Halep, Cornet and Ivanovic.

They have played twice before but only 1 was in the last 2 seasons. That was on a hard court and went to Zakopalova in 3 sets

How will Zak react to her embarrassing loss to Kvitova last week? My thoughts are that as she can very quickly get down on herself then if things don’t go her way in the early games we will see the face that looks like a sulky teenager and she may start spraying shots all over. So I think she will trade higher but what happens after that is anyone’s guess!

Update: That was easy! Hsieh won 6-3, 6-2.


Another player who is too low is Kirilenko.  She hasn’t been 100% fit and it has shown in her performances. Wickmayer beat her in Eastbourne but since that tournament Wickmayer’s own form has been suspect to say the least. Both players’ games are well suited to the hard courts and as long as Wickmayer shows up mentally then I think we will see a much higher price on Kirilenko.

As long as Kirilenko is reasonably injury free then she is mentally stronger ( I wouldn’t have written THAT 12 months ago! ) and she ought to come through in 3 sets.

Update: Awful from Wickmayer. Kirilenko won 6-1, 6-1.


Monfils retired in his final against Melzer at the weekend. Is he recovered enough to get through at least 3 sets? I’d say its worth a lay to find out. He is 1.15 against Ungur which isn’t the stiffest test but if we can lay under 1.10 then its cheap enough.

Update: Monfils won 6-1, 6-2, 6-0 . Ungur wasn’t the man for the job.


Knapp lost in the second round last week to Wozniacki so should be well rested this week. She has been playing some decent tennis beating Svitolina and taking Kerber to 3 sets.

Min has been spending her time in ITF events and having mixed success against lower ranked players.

I expect Knapp to start the quicker of the two players. If her fitness isn’t an issue then I expect to see her win in 2 sets but she does have a tendency to fade towards the end of the opening set and at the start of the second.

Min hasn’t won a main Tour, main draw match since Charleston in April and that was due to Paszek retiring after the first set.

Update: Knapp won 6-3, 6-1.

    Trading Guide

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