US Open 2013 – week 1, Wednesday

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The first round continued to be fairly random. Just when you think Sam Stosur has found a little consistency she loses to young Duval from America. Almagro is looking like the new Melzer and rapidly went from being a break up against Istomin to being 2 sets down and on his way home.

Dimitrov looked like he wanted a holiday with Sugarpova as he was dumped out by clay courter Sousa. An injured Janowicz went down in 3 to Gonzalez.

Monaco retired against Mayer and the Rosol bubble appears to be completely burst as he was beaten in 4 sets by Becker.

Cibulkova was the other big name knocked out from the WTA tournament although a lot of players who were perhaps expecting to be around for round 2 are on their way home.

Let’s hope that now the second round is starting ( for the women at least ) that the randomness will decrease a little.

 

I’m not a great fan of Devvarman but he keeps proving me wrong. He starts today at 1.50 against Lacko having come through qualifying. Apparently he commented after his last match that he is having problems with a back injury so the fact that his price has shortened since this morning perhaps says more about Lacko’s form or lack of it.

With the possibility of injury I am more tempted to lay him if he drops to below 1.40 in the early games as I think the market will correct itself a little even without a break. This will give us time to monitor how well the Indian is moving. If the back issue is manageable I’d expect him to come through in 4 sets.

 

I can’t see Venus Williams having too many problems with Zheng if she can play like she did in the first round. That was the best match she has played in quite a while and she looked a lot healthier than in recent tournaments. 1.37 isn’t a great price unfortunately. Maybe we might get a little higher in the early games.

 

Something tells me Kerber could be trading a lot higher than her SP of 1.36 against Bouchard. The German’s form has not been exceptional and she has had issues with her serve. She seemed a little better in the 1st round but Bouchard has the ability to punish any weak serves.

Bouchard took a set from Serena in Cincinnati and came through a tough 3 setter in the first round so her confidence should be high.

 

Hewitt looks a little short at 1.40 against Brian Baker but as this could be his last US Open he won’t want to be going home just yet. Baker’s injury problems are still shadowing his career but the home crowd will do their best to lift him.

I think Baker could take a set here but Hewitt will have too much for him in the end.

 

Stepanek has a surprising 5-0 head to head lead over Wawrinka but I think the Swiss number 2 will make that 5-1 today. The last time they played was back in 2009 when Stepanek was the higher ranked player.

I don’t think it will be a straight forward win though and could easily go to 4 sets. I’ll be waiting for a higher price on Stan as he often starts matches slowly. As this is best of 5 he may well come into the match relaxed feeling he has plenty of time and that’s when he gets broken.

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