US Open 2013 – week 2, Wednesday

Wawrinka’s win over Berdych wasn’t a huge surprise when you take into consideration their previous matches. The first 2 sets were close ( thats all I watched before going to bed ) with both looking tough to break.  So that means Murray won’t have to face Berdych who beat him recently. Thats the good news. the bad news is that Stan beat Murray in Monte Carlo (on clay) and took him to 3 sets on the hard courts in Tokyo last October. That match isn’t an easy one for the defending champion.

Can anyone tell me how the f’#k Hewitt lost that match?? He made a slow start and in fact was broken early in 4 of the 5 sets. When he moved into a 2 sets to 1 lead I was convinced he would compete the win. I was even more sure when he took a 4-1 lead in that 4th set but he lost the next 6 games which lost him the set and put him a break down in the 5th.

In the deciding set he moved to a 5-2 lead. Surely he couldn’t mess it up from there? He lost the next 5 games.

 

Vinci v Pennetta is one of the matches covered for SHARK TIPS subscribers.

Update: A winner for the tips  as Pennetta won in straight sets.

Gasquet delivered another 5th set loss to the tips despite winning fewer points than Raonic and the Canadian having a match point in the 4th set.

Gasquet had only once made it beyond the 4th round of a slam and I’d like to take some of the credit for tipping against him doing it again.

Ferrer has found some of his form and confidence in this tournament. His head to head record over Gasquet is strong at 8-1 and all his wins were in straight sets.

Gasquet isn’t known for his fitness whereas it is one of Ferrer’s clear strengths. Also Gasquet was obviously well aware of his failures at the 4th round stage in the past and after the Raonic match he said that it was on his mind during that 5th set and he told himself , “…you NEED to win.”. There was a sense of relief that he had finally done it and I think that won’t help his motivation in this match. Subconsciously he has already achieved more than he expected.

Ferrer fought hard to get past a rejuvenated Tipsarevic in the last round which will have helped to put his state of mind back where it should be. I think the most likely outcome today is Ferrer to win in 4 sets.

Update: Gasquet came out with a very un-Gasquet-like performance for a second week of a slam. He took a 2-0 lead which wrecked one of my tips on Ferrer. Ferrer came back as Gasquet started to make more errors and the match went into a 5th. Gasquet wrecked my other tip on Ferrer too!

Gasquet won 6-3, 6-1, 4-6, 2-6, 6-3.

 

Azarenka hasn’t looked comfortable in the opening sets of her last 2 matches. Cornet and Ivanovic both took a set lead before folding under the pressure from Azarenka.

I find it hard to believe that Hantuchova can repeat her level of play that she showed against Riske in the last round. I can’t remember seeing her serve so well and hit so consistently.

Head to heads are actually 2-2 but only 1 of those was in the last 2 years. That was this year in Indian Wells and Azarenka won 6-4, 6-1.

I have struggled to find an angle on this one. Obviously Azarenka is expected to win. Over 18.5 games  would look to be the pick but Azarenka could easily breeze through this one. Hantuchova had looked quite tired against Glushko but found a second wind for the last match.

I think I will be leaving this one alone unless Azarenka goes behind in the opening set.

Update: Easy for Azarenka although she wasn’t holding easily at the start of the match.

She won 6-2, 6-3.

 

No one, including Robredo, expected Robredo to beat Federer in straight sets. I think that match told us more about Federer than it did about the Spaniard.

I don’t expect him to have much joy against Nadal who is yet to lose serve in this tournament. He lost just 1 set which was in a tie break to Kohlschreiber.

Robredo has had 4 matches which included 2 four set battles. Most of his sets have been close so there’s a good chance he fuel light is blinking.

I think the first set could be the closest but assuming Nadal takes it I’d say the following sets will be a lot more one sided.

Nadal in 3.

Update: Nadal won 6-0, 6-2, 6-2.

 

 

 

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