US Open 2014 – week 2, day 3

Three of today’s four matches promise to be entertaining.

The first two matches are covered for the Shark Tips service. Tradeshark Tennis members can get in play trading advice in the chat room. We have had some superb trades in there this week.

 

WTA, midnight – S Williams v Pennetta

Pennetta has never beaten Serena and I was a little surprised to see that she hasn’t taken a set from her since 2008. In their last two meetings, one this season and one last season, she failed to take more than two games in a set.

Williams hasn’t been tested so far but despite Pennetta’s weak performances in their previous meetings if Serena has a slow start Pennetta’s groundstrokes can cause her some problems. She hasn’t made a slow start so far which is quite unusual for her and suggests she is very focused to get the job done this week.

Pennetta has some potentially tricky matches so far. Rogers, Gibbs and Dellacqua have all performed above expectations in recent weeks but were all beaten in straight sets. Only Julia Goerges in the first round has taken a set from her.

Williams starts at 1.12 . We can either lay her from the start or just wait for a higher price to back her.

I think Pennetta will keep at least one of the sets close so the Pennetta +5.5 games @ 2.46 could have a chance.

 

 

ATP, 02:00 – Djokovic v Murray

What a shame this is on at 2am! Since Murray beat him in the final of the US Open final in 2012 they have played 5 times. Once on grass (the Wimbledon final) and four times on hard courts. Djokovic won all the hard court matches. They have played just once this season which was in Miami. That was the only recent match where Murray failed to win a set although that wasn’t too long after his back operation.

Djokovic wasn’t troubled in his first 3 matches. After a slow start Kohlschreiber was able to put him under pressure and had a set point in the second set and also a break point to take it into a tie break.

Murray served very well against Tsonga although he still went a break behind in sets two and three. If Tsonga had served as he is capable of it could have been a different result. I feel that Murray’s returning ability will allow him to put the Djokovic serve under pressure.

Djokovic’s price is currently 1.29 and has shortened a little since this morning. That is too low. If i can stay awake I will wait for a better price on Djokovic as i don’t see him losing this one. Hopefully if Murray can get an early break the market will over react a little. A break and a hold. 1.75? You never know!

 

 

    Trading Guide