US Open, week 2 – Tuesday

** All today’s matches cancelled due to rain **

 

Isner v Simon:

Surprisingly they haven’t played before. Both are in excellent form. Simon came back from a set down against Del Potro although I didn’t rate DP’s chances in this tournament –US Open preview

Isner won the last tournament before this one which will have raised his confidence coming into the Major.  He has managed to do just enough so far and save enegy where possible. He has lost just 1 set so far.

Isner has held serve 90% of the time over the last 12 months to Simon’s 79% so breaks of serve could be thin on the ground.  Isner wins twice as many tie breaks as he loses on hard courts. Simon wins just over half his tie breaks.

In such a tight match it is often the smarter player who comes out on top as they can work out a way to break the deadlock. At times Isner seems a little slow in the mental department. Maybe his brain is too far from his feet. He has demonstrated some exceptional touch around the net in recent weeks and has continued that in this tournament. However the standard of his opponents hasn’t needed him to do much more than serve well.

Simon on the other hand is a thinking player. He has a very good serve but its not huge. He has to work harder for the service game holds and the fact that he holds almost 80% of the time says a great deal about his all round game.

My gut feeling is that Simon will be able to work out the Isner serve but that it will take the best part of the first set. The first set could easily be a tie break and if thats the case Isner has to be favourite. However after that I’d expect Simon to start to get on top and when he can start to read the American’s serve and get the ball in play he becomes favourite.

I think we are looking at 4 or 5 sets but I am going for Simon to get the win. He is slight favourite on  Betfair at 1.95 .

Update: Simon broke Isner’s serve at the first attempt. Unfortunately he wasn’t able to hold on and the set went to a tie break which Isner took. In the second set Simon again broke early and this time was able to take the set. The next 2 sets were very close and both went to the American in tie breaks.

Isner won 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, 7-6.

 

Stosur v Zvonareva:

Head to heads are 7-1 to Stosur and she has won the last 7. This is the first time they have met in a Major since Wimbledon 2004 which is the only time Zvonareva won.

Stosur seems to have grown in confidence recently and has become more consistent. Her serve is working well. Its difficult to ignore 7 straight wins. Kirilenko made a comment after their match that, “She hits the ball like a guy”.

Zvonareva hasn’t really been tested so far which could count against her. Stosur has had to fight in a couple of her matches so has sharpened her game.

Zvonareva starts as favourite at 1.80 but whilst I expect it to be close and probably 3 sets I have to go with Stosur’s power. (1.80/2.20)

Update: Great performance from Stosur who won 6-3, 6-3.

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