Valencia Open 500 – Mon

16:00 – Garcia-Lopez v Greul

Rankings are 47 and 59. Head to heads are 1-0 to Garcia-Lopez.

On recent form I would expect Garcia-Lopez to win this one. He is usually solid on serve and the stats say he wins 74% of his service games. He also gets 61% of his first serves in which is quite high.

He wins 30% of points against a first serve which is  again quite high.

So we can either back him from the start and green up after a break of serve ( green up after the set if you’re feeling brave), or back G-L on serve.

If you get a 15-40 opportunity in Garcia-Lopez’ favour take it.

Update: Well Garcia-Lopez didn’t start this one very well, losing his first 2 service games. A few nervy minutes for those backing him from the start but he got his act together eventually to take the first set 7-5. He took controlin the second set and took that 6-2.

    Trading Guide

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