Pre match update: The price on Giraldo is still going down. I still can’t find a reason. Could be safer to stay out until we see whats happening.
Fognini v Giraldo: There has been quite a move in the prices and Giraldo is now favourite on betfair at 1.83 . Fognini leads the head to heads 2-0 although they haven’t played for 3 years.
Both are in decent form but based on more recent results you would have to favour Fognini who reached the semi fnals last week where he was overpowered by Cilic.
Giraldo has recently lost to Haider-Maurer which is nothing to shout about. I can’t see any reason or news that woud explain the shift in prices. I will stick with Fognini who I feel will want as many points as possible before the clay matches run out.
I’ll be laying Giraldo from the start.
Update: Difficult to tell what the match was like without live pictures but Fognini would seem to have been below par. Giraldo won 6-3, 6-4.
Haase plays Feliciano Lopez in what could be a tight match dominated by serve. Lopez will enjoy the conditions in Austria as the slight altitude will make the ball fly a little faster and also the courts are playing quite quickly for clay. He reached the quarter finals in Gstaad last week and won a Challenger event on clay last month.
Haase hasn’t had too much success recently although his losses have come to Cilic, Berlocq and Fish. He will need his serve to be at its very best to keep him in the match and his best chances will probably come in tie breaks. If Lopez’ serve is anywhere near its recent standard then Haase will find it difficult to break. Anyone is capable of throwing down a bad service game though which makes tennis so unpredictable at times.
Lopez to win in tight sets.
Update: Rain delay. The match is currently 1 set all.
Davydenko takes on Matthew Ebden from Australia. Ebden has been doing well on the faster courts and has reached the quarter finals of a couple of Challenger events. He also reached the same stage in the ATP Campbells Hall of Fame tournament losing out to Rochus.
Ebden has had to come through qualifying so will be used to the courts. This will be Davydenko’s first game on hard courts for a while and he has been in terrible form. He has shown short glimpses of his old standard of play but he and his serve in particular have crumbled at the first sign of pressure.
Hard courts are probably Davy’s best surface and I actually fancy him to win this one. However his starting price of 1.51 is too low and there is a very good chance that the first set will either be close or Ebden will edge it. Even a close first set will see the price rise as it gets nearer to a tie break. I’ll be laying Davy from the start.
Update: The match started but only for a couple of games before a very long rain break. Enough to get green before the delay though but I didnt see the rest of the match.
Davydenko won 6-3, 7-5.