We have some potentially very tight matches in Shanghai.
Raonic and Baghdatis have played twice before with Raonic winning both times. However each set was either a tie break or was settled by a single break. Both are in good form with Raonic losing in the final last week and Baggy in the semis to Nishikori. Raonic’s 0-6 loss in the third set of that final is a small concern although it was as much to do with Nishikori’s incredible play than with Raonic’s poor returns. I’ll be looking for a higher price on Raonic of at least 1.70 or I won’t get involved.
Nishikori v Querrey is another close one. We will probably see the trainer called for Nishikori and the market will go nuts as he is favourite on Betfair. I am in no rush to trade this one.
Tommy Haas is continuing to play well and will be too strong for Robredo who has beaten him on clay but never on a faster court. 1.32 is a little short for me though and I will be hoping for 1.50 in the early games.
Hradecka starts as slight underdog against Arvidsson. Head to heads are 1-1. Hradecka’s recent form has been better and she reached the final of the Bell Challenge in September. Arvidsson’s recent results haven’t been great but she beat Safarova in the first round in 3 sets.
Both are capable of serving well at times but I am leaning towards Hradecka for the win. She tens to be the more consistent of the two and if her serve is also working well I think she will come through a tight match.
I will look to lay Arvidsson around 1.70 which it should hit without a break.