Wednesday 17th July 2013

Finally we seem to have a bit of quality in today’s matches. Yesterday I ended up sticking around and whilst it was a worthwhile trading session the quality of tennis was sadly lacking.We should have got rid of a lot of the dross but that remains to be seen.

Incidentally there were a few minor issues with the hosting company yesterday which meant the sites were unavailable to some people for a short time. If that affected you I apologise but it was sorted pretty quickly and all appeared fine after that.

 

Six matches start at 10am and the one that stands out most has to be Monaco v Monfils.

Monaco leads the head to heads 4-2 and is 3-0 on clay. Their last clay court match was 2 years ago though and Monfils retired in the second set. Their most recent meeting was last season on the hard courts of Miami. Monaco took that one in 3 sets.

Monaco is having an ok season without being spectacular. He has lost the edge that he had last year that saw him reach the top 10. He won the title in Dusseldorf in May and reached the 3rd round at Wimbledon. However he lost in the first round of the French Open and limped out last week with a lethargic display against Dimitrov where he was sitting back and hoping for errors from his opponent that just didn’t come.

Monfils is taking his career more seriously these days but is still unpredictable and likely to attempt showboating shots when simply putting the ball in court would do the job.

I think if Monaco tries to take control of the match then he has the game to do it but unfortunately he hasn’t been doing that regularly in 2013. Monfils will be predictably unpredictable yet if Monaco sits back and waits for errors he won’t get quite as many as he has done in some of their previous matches.

I’m going for Monfils in 3 sets. He starts at 1.83 but I won’t be getting involved below evens.

Update: Monfils took a 4-1 lead in the first set. He then lost 9 of the next 10 games.

Monaco won 6-4, 6-4.

 

Tommy Robredo owes me some money. Last week he turned up for his match with Ramos wearing a scarf which he kept on for the whole match and played like a man flu victim. Lets give him the benefit of the doubt and say he probably had some ailment such as a sore throat and maybe was taking medication that made him drowsy. To be fair to him for the rest of the season he has been excellent.

He has played Delbonis twice before. Both times were in July  2012 and Robredo was nowhere near 100% fit. In fact he retired in their first match and then lost a week or so later when they met again.

Delbonis was pretty awful on serve in his last match. In the first 4 games of his match with Reister there were 21 deuces. I stopped counting after that. As long as Robredo doesn’t come on court in a scarf and grannies shawl he should take this one.

Update: No video but from the way he started Robredo not only had the scarf and shawl on but was dragging a little shopping trolley round the court after him. He came back to take the second set but lost in 3.

Del Bonis won 6-1, 4-6, 6-4.

 

Feliciano Lopez made the most of the grass season. He reached the  third round at Queens, won the title in Eastbourne and reached the third round at Wimbledon where Haas ended his run. It is a while since he played a competitive match on clay but should he really be 1.67 against Wild Card Jan-Lennard Struff?

Struff has been playing reasonably well but unless Lopez isn’t 100% fit I think this is a decent price on him. I even checked the Betfair forum for a clue. Only joking.  They probably have a picture of Lopez’cat but no mention of the match.

As usual I will wait for a small price rise in the early games but I will be on Lopez. Not full stake as something smells fishy and I’m not talking about the contents of Baldricks apple crumble…..

Update: Struff broke in the first game! He almost hung on for the set but Lopez dragged him back. 

Lopez won 7-5, 6-3.

 

Golubic has an outside chance of taking the match against Hlavackova who retired  from her second round match last week. Golubic beat Bertens in the first round and her one handed backhand could give Hlavackova a few problems today. She starts at 2.52 .

Update: Golubic took the first set but the more experienced Hlavackova took the match in 3.

Hlavackova won 5-7, 6-1, 6-0.

 

Federer is back after his surprising loss to Stakhovsky at Wimbledon. He can be rusty after a break so I might look to lay him this evening. You never know!

Update: Fed lost the opening set 😉

Federer won 3-6, 6-3, 6-2.

    Trading Advice