Wednesday 24th April 2013

Hopefully today I actually get a free day to trade!

 

I think Dimitrov has a great chance aganst Robredo who struggled in the first set against Marc Lopez who is better known for his doubles play. Dimitrov has had time to calm down after almost beating Nadal last week. I would prefer at least 1.80 rather than the SP of 1.60 .

Dimitrov almost qualified as a betting pick but was filtered out at a late stage.

Update: Dimitrov got an early break and seemed to be in control. He was broken serving for the set. He lost the set and only won 1 more game in the match.

Robredo won 7-5, 6-1.

 

Wozniacki has only played Suarez Navarro once before. That was on clay in an ITF event 7 years ago. Woz won that in straight sets but it was before Carla started to walk upright.

fkedup

We have an SP of 1.45 on Woz. Suarez Navarro is capable of winning a set but it would be a huge upset if Wozniacki loses this one. Carla is on home soil but I don’t see that making much difference. (idiot! I was distracted looking at where their previous match was!!. Of course today they are in Germany. Concentrate man!! ).

Update: Wozniacki was well below her best which gave Suarez Navarro confidence. Carla improved as the match went on.

Suarez Navarro won 7-6, 6-1.

 

Mona Barthel starts as strong favourite against Safarova. Neither player won a match on their Fed Cup matches but Safarova was up against much tougher opposition and took Vinci to 3 sets. (correction: Barthel did win a Fed Cup match! How many errors can I get into one post?)

Barthel has the home crowd with her but I think she will trade much higher. I will try to get a lay below 1.35 to 1.40.

Update: Safarova won 6-4, 6-1.

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9 thoughts on “Wednesday 24th April 2013”

  1. Thanks 🙂 that pick on Dimitrov was good too, got him at 1.68, but I don’t know if he will win in straight now

    1. Hi,

      Tough one. A lot of the stats point to JJ but Stosur’s playing well too. PLus of course both are capable of meltdown!
      Gut feeling is JJ but its no more than that really

    1. As the saying goes, I could tell you but I’d have to kill you.
      I have a 5 stage selection process. A match must make it through all 5 before they go onto a short list that are researched in detail.
      With that match even if it had made the short list I had concerns over Dimitrov’s tough week last week. He pulled up towards the end of the Nadal match. Added to that with him coming so close to beating Nadal there was a chance that his mind wasn’t fully on today’s match.

      1. Ha Haa!

        Touché! I appreciate the reply. I didn’t trade it but I certainly would have had a wary eye on it for similar reasons (cramping) and also Robredo being a clay specialist.

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