Wednesday 3rd October 2012

Its not the most inspiring list of matches today. Or perhaps my perception of them is flawed due to every bone in my body aching. Finished trading at 3 yesterday from a 5am start and then did the next stage of the decorating. Finished at 10pm. I think its called burning the candle at both ends.

Anyway we have a few lowish prices today. Sharapova is at 1.14 and after her struggle yesterday against Halep I will look to lay her after she breaks.

Update: Cirstea was never really in it. Sharapova won 6-2, 6-2.

 

Wawrinka looks a little short at 1.40 against Chardy although he has never lost to the Frenchman. I’ll wait for a higher price in the first half of the opening set.

Update: Wawrinka was broken first and he broke back 3 games later. The set went to Wawrinka in a tie break.  The second set also went to a tie break and Wawrinka led 6-3 but somehow managed to lose the set. He took the decider with a single late break.

Wawrinka won 7-6, 6-7, 7-5.

 

 Its the same with Dolgopolov’s price against Melzer. 1.37 is too low to be backing as both have clown tendencies. Melzer gets more unpredictable with every passing match but I don’t see him winning this one.

Update: No breaks in the opening set and Melzer took it in a tie break. Dolgopolov fought straight back with a double break in the second set. In the third set it was Melzer’s turn for a double break.

Melzer won 7-6, 2-6, 6-1.

 

Murray v Lacko is the mis-match of the day ( cue a 2-0 Lacko win! ). Mayer, Djokovic and Radwanska should be troubled too much but look out for higher prices on all of them.

Update: Mayer and Rad lost the opening set but all these came through.

 

That just leaves Bartoli and Goerges.  Goerges has had 2 tough 3 setters so far this week with a great win over Sam Stosur in the last round. She seems to be serving well and even though Bartoli leads the head to heads 3-1 I think this will be quite an even contest.

As there’s always a chance of a slow start from Marion I will be laying from the start. Tough to pick a winner but I will be looking to back Bartoli at much bigger odds.

Update: It was Goerges who made the slow start and went 0-3 down. She began to play better but couldn’t rescue the set. In the second they had 1 break each and Bartoli won it in a tie break.

Bartoli won 6-3, 7-6.

 

 

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