Wednesday 7th August 2013

Another excellent day yesterday. Simon breezed through the opening set against Davydenko and then lost the next 2 sets 1-6, 1-6 to give the Shark Tips service its first loss of the week. The other two picks won with Youzhny winning in straight sets and Cibulkova somehow managing to win a match with virtually no serve! 7-5 in the third set against Kerber.

The Wins a Set list gave 6 underdogs who won a set and 4 of them went on to win the match.

Yesterday’s list was:

Agnieszka Radwanska – won in 2
Dominika Cibulkova – lost the 1sts et, won sets 2 and 3
Chanelle Scheepers – won set1
Venus Williams – won set 1 6-0
Magdalena Rybarikova – won in 2 sets
Lauren Davis came back from a set and a break down to win in 3 sets
Petra Martic – lost in 2 sets
Elena Vesnina – lost in 2
Ekaterina Makarova – won in 2 sets
Ana Ivanovic – won in 2 sets
Alisa Kleybanova – lost in 2 sets
Jamie Hamptonlost in 2 sets
Samantha Stosur – lost set 1, came back to win in 3
Jelena Jankovic – won sets 1 and 3
Stephanie Dubois – won set 1

Novak Djokovic – won in 2
Kei Nishikori – lost  set 1, came back to win in 3
Richard Gasquet – won in 2 sets
Jarkko Nieminen – won 1st set, retired in set 3
Yen-Hsun Lu – won set 1
Jerzy Janowicz – lost 1st set, came back to win in 3
Tommy Haas – won in 2
Kevin Anderson – lost in 2 ( 6-7, 4-6)
John Isner – won set 1
Radek Stepanek – won in 3 sets.
Gilles Simon – won 1st set then turned to shit
Alex Jr. Bogomolov – won in 3 sets
Mikhail Youzhny – won in 2 sets
Milos Raonic – won sets 1 and 3
Marcos Baghdatis – won set 1
Grigor Dimitrov – pff (lost in 2)

http://blog.tradesharktennis.com/wins-a-set-subscription

 

On to today’s matches :

cornet

Cornet just won’t go away will she? It would appear she has been spending less time with her nose pressed against shop windows ( well SOMETHING made it that shape ) and has been spending a bit more time on the practice courts. She has been having one of her best seasons. She has won both her previous matches with Kirilenko but they were in 2007 and 2008. These days it’s Kirilenko who is the top 20 player ( and briefly top 10 ) and the Russian is the better hard court player.

It looks like Cornet is bringing her clay court form with her  and she had a good win over a rusty Vesnina in the last round. I think Kirilenko will be too consistent  and will win a tight match. Kirilenko starts at 1.53 but I’d be happier with 1.70 to 1.80 .

 

Vinci is obviously more comfortable on clay but you don’t get to 12th in the world by being one dimensional. At times in her match with Goerges she didn’t look great and it was a late break in the second set that got her back into the match. She won in 3 sets.

Makarova has actually been doing well in the recent tournaments with a quarter final in Eastbourne, a 3rd round at Wimbledon and then another semi final last week. She always looks like her game is fragile to me. She is either fantastic and hitting the lines or every other ball finds the net.

I expect Vinci’s consistency to grind Makarova down today and after a good first set i think she may well start to crumble. 1.75 on Vinci doesn’t look too shabby to me.

 

Wozniacki is clinging on to her top 10 status. Today she takes on Cirstea who has shown good recent form. Cirstea has beaten her in the past but not since 2009 but as Wozniacki hasn’t played a competitive match since losing in the second round at Wimbledon  Cirstea may have a chance in this one. Woz’ starting price of 1.65 reflects this and if she wasn’t likely to be rusty at least in the first set then that 1.65 would look like value. As it is I think its about right. Cirstea will go for her shots as usual but her timing has more chance to be better than Wozniacki’s in the early games.

I think if I can get on below 1.40 in the first few games it is worth a lay as I can see Cirstea taking the first set.

 

Milos Raonic hasn’t been past a second round for a while and I suppose he has as much  chance of doing it with the home crowd behind him as anywhere else.

He starts as favourite against an in form Youzhny. They have played just once before which was over 2 years ago at the Australian Open. Raonic won in 4 sets.

Youzhny has a good record against big servers and in his current form he has to be in with a good chance of getting the win. His return game is far superior to Raonic’s and once he starts to read the Raonic serve he is likely to get on top in this match.

I’ll be backing Youzhny.

    Trading Guide