Wednesday’s matches

Some big names on show today. Lets hope some of them get a scare like Djokovic did last night 😉

 

Tipsarevic v Mayer:

Tough one to call! Mayer hasn’t payed since Shanghai but had been in great form. A couple of weeks off will have recharged the batteries.

Tipsarevic reached the final last week where he lost to Cilic. He still has an outside chance of reaching the World Finals. However there were concerns last week over leg injury.

Mayer doesn’t have a great record at this tournament and went out in the first round last year.

As we near the end of the season all the aches and pains start to take their toll on the players. Tipsarevic has had his share of these. He has been in finals the last 2 weeks and I’m not sure he will be able to find the energy if it looks like being a tight match ( which it will be). If what I have read is correct he needs to win this tournament and get to the latter stages in Paris to get to the World Finals. That isn’t realistic as it would mean 4 long tough weeks in a row and if things don’t come easily to him today his head could drop.

For these reasons I think Mayer has a great chance today but I won’t be getting involved at the start. The market will be going crazy until traders work out who is the stronger player on the day. Ideally a quick start from Tipsarevic will give a decent lay price on him.

Mayer to get the win.

(1.94)

Update: I wasn’t aware that the game had started until I saw 0-15 on the scoreboard. When I saw 0-30 it was clear that other traders didn’t know it had started either as there was very little movement. I placed a lay and got partially matched around 1.90 . That still gave me over £300 green on mayer who completed the break and held easily. He then broke again and held. Tipsarevic then had an MTO for his thigh and we hoped he wasn’t going to quit before the end of the set. After a long pause they started playing again and it looked like we were going to get our first set conmpleted.

Tipsarevic served at 1-5 and Mayer had a break point. Unfortunately he wasn’t able to take it and were were back at deuce. It was then that Tipsarevic retired injured! TWAT! Bets void.

 

Bogomolov Jr v Lopez:

Lopez won their only previous match in Shanghai last month. It was decided in 3 sets.

Bogomolov has had two great weeks in Russia but that probably means he is waking up each morning with a few aches and niggling pains. It has been a fantastic year for him with his ranking increasing from 200 at this time last year to his current 36 and I don’t think he will be too disappointed if he loses today.

Lopez reached the semi finals in Shanghai, narrowly losing out to Ferrer in 3 sets. He played a Challenger the next week but went out in the first round. He has had plenty of time to recharge the energy levels and is in front of a home crowd this week.

I expect Lopez to take advantage of Bogomolov’s poor back hand  and if the American shows signs of fatigue I’d expect Lopez to move him around.

This should be a couple of close  sets but I expect Lopez to come through.

(1.50)

Update: I backed Lopez at the start and he broke and served out the set. he broke early in the second set and I greened up. At that stage he was 4-2 up. The next time I looked later in the evening he had lost the second set 4-6! What happened there??

I have just checked the final score and Bogomolov won the third in a tie break.

Bogomolov won 4-6, 6-4, 7-6.

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