19:00 – Fish v Roddick
Rankings are 36 and 13. Head to heads are 9-2 to Roddick. Fish won their most recent match last month in straight sets.
Both players came through tough quarter finals. Fish looked like he was going to get an early finish when Murray again did his dying swan act in the second set. He looked like he was going to retire but kept going and pushed Fish right to the end.
Djokovic pushed Roddick close but was below his best. Roddick however has been playing extremely well.
They hold serve 89% and 91% of the time. Fish’s return stats are slightly better and he converts more break point opportunities than Roddick.
If we don’t see at least one tie break here then I will eat my laptop. Fish has played 4 tie breaks this week and won 3 of them. Roddick, even though he has one of the best tie break records on the tour, has also played 4 tie breaks but won 2 of them.
Has to be a match for backing both on serve anf if I had to pick a winner it would have to be Fish.
Update: Fish won 4-6, 7-6, 6-1.
Midnight – Baghdatis v Federer
Rankings are 20 and 2. Head to heads are 6-1 to Federer.
I don’t think anyone really expected Baggy to beat Nadal last night. In the first set his serve was amazing and Nadal couldn’t get close to it. His ground strokes were just as good and a slightly below par Nadal never really looked comfortable.
Having lost the first set Nadal started the expected come back and levelled the match at one set all.
It looked like to same old story with Nadal coming back to run away with the final set but it was Baghdatis who broke serve at the first attempt. Nadal pulled back the break.
In the end it was Baghdatis who came out on top.
Federer dealt with Davydenko in straight sets although the Russian tested him throughout the contest and got the first break. He looked like staging a comeback in the second set but Federer had just a little too much.
I’m not sure stats will be of much use in this one. I think it will come down to experience of the bigger games and I have to go with Federer.
Both should be fine to back on serve. If Fed takes the first set I think Baghdatis may lose heart in the second.
Update: Federer won 6-4, 6-3.