Wimbledon 2012, week 1 – Monday

Here we go! The sun’s shining in SW19 and the Centre Court roof is open. For how long I don’t know although it’s an excellent forecast for today with more sun tomorrow but with the possibility of light showers.

Slams can be tricky in the opening days as we have so many games on at the same time. Will they take 2 days to get Slamtracker running properly like they did at the French? Time will tell. My advice is to pick a game and stick with it but keep an eye on other matches in case opportunities arise elsewhere. Don’t try to trade more than 1 ( perhaps 2) at the same time.

http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/about_aeltc/201206161339849840116.html

Hover over “scores” to get the link to the scoreboard.

While there are so many matches I will give briefer thoughts on matches but will cover more games. I think this will be of more use ( hope so anyway!).

 

Lets start with a good Wimbledon name. Becker. This time ofcourse its Benjamin Becker. He is up against James Blake who has beaten the German in all of their 4 previous matches. Becker has managed to win just 1 set which was in his own country and on grass in 2008.

Becker won the Challenger event in Nottingham on grass earlier this month but has dropped his level in the few matches since. He lost in the first round in Halle and didn’t get through qualifying in the Netherlands last week.

Blake only plays the UK grass events these days and the last time he was on grass was last year’s Wimbledon when he lost in 5 sets to Baghdatis.

Becker is at 1.26 which is a cheap lay as Blake is capable of playing at least 1 decent set especially if he can get his serve going. You’d have to expect Becker to come through in a best of 5 but its by no means certain.

Update: Becker broke serve early but Blake came back. Blake won the first set in a tie break.

Becker won 6-7, 7-5, 6-0, 6-4.

 

Is Llodra back to full fitness? His game is well suited to the grass but he faces Fognini who pushed Roddick to 3 tight sets last week. I reckon thats worth a lay on Llodra at 1.57 .

Update: Llodra made a good start and took the first set but Foggy  came back to win 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-5.

 

I’d expect Stepanek to beat Stakhovsky over 5 sets. Step’s price is lower than I would want to back him at though at 1.40 . This might be due to Stak retiring against Anderson a couple of weeks ago. Both players are well suited to a grass court but Step will be more consistent. 1.60 or higher please before I back him.

Update: No higher price. Stak retired in the second set. Step won 6-1, 1,0 (retired)

 

Leonardo Mayer has a decent serve when it’s working. he is up against Monaco and my first reaction is that Monaco is a very healthy price at 1.50 . Monaco hasn’t won a match at Wimbledon but his all round game has improved immensely in the last 12 months. No way Mayer wins over 5 sets.

Update: Monaco won 6-4, 7-6, 7-6.

 

Cirstea won’t have it easy again Parmentier who has been having a decent season. Neither has a great record on grass but Parmentier won their only previous match on grass. Their other meeting went to Cirstea on clay but went to 3 sets. I expect a lot of swings in this one and wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Parmentier win it.

Update: The first set was close but Cirstea won 6-4, 6-1.

 

 

    Trading Guide

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