Wimbledon 2012 – week 1, Thursday

So they decided to use the roof yesterday on Centre Court. Still a lengthy delay while they decided. Surely one of the biggest tennis tournaments in the world should have a set of rules about whether to use the roof or not? That would be better than getting the old duffers on the committee together ( having woken them from their nap) and having them pratt about making the decision each time.

No real surprises in the men’s draw yesterday. The nearest we got to one was Melzer beating Wawrinka in 5 sets.

In the women’s draw we saw Sam Stosur go out to Rus in 3 sets. The Ozzie just can’t get it together on grass. Paszek took out Wozniacki in a fantastic match on Centre Court. Li Na and Cibulkova both lost in straight sets.

Heather Watson is still going strong with a solid win over America’s Jamie Hampton.

 

Today’s matches:

Kerber and Makarova meet again. At Eastbourne it was Kerber who handled the rain delays better. No great value on Kerber at 1.40 but if she gets broken early I will be backing her.

 

Brian Baker performed extremely well on the clay in Nice  and came back from 2 sets down against Simon at the French only to lose the 5th set 6-0. How does he do on grass? He dropped just 1 set in the qualifying rounds but was a strong favourite in every match. He came through his first round match in straight sets.

Nieminen’s win over Lopez in the first round was his first win since his mental meltdown against Murray at the French Open. This is a tough match to predict. Nieminen’s eyes can glaze over at any stage of a match. He has a great deal of ability but I never really feel comfortable with my money on him. Baker seems to perform more consistently but we have seen so little of him. He is favourite on Betfair at 1.84 . I will probably start with a part stake back on Baker while I decide who is the stronger player on the day. I don’t like backing Nieminen as a favourite so as an underdog I will be very wary.

 

This is Lacko’s second time in the second round. He beat Baghdatis in 2010 before losing to Chardy in round 2. He came through his first round match with Ungur comfortably.

Melzer would seem to be up for the fight this week having come back from 1-2 against Wawrinka  to take the 5th set 8-6. That suggests he is motivated to put the effort in. Lacko can be a tricky opponent especially if his serve is working well. However if Melzer still wants to win then over the best of 5 sets he ought to take this.

1.46 is no price to be backing Melzer though and this is one to wait to evens or better before getting involved.

 

Bartens knocked out Safarova in straight sets. She starts as underdog at 2.34 . She is up against Shvedova who seems to have found some of her 2010 form that saw her reach 29th in the world. This will be a close one. Bartens is in great form and won  a title on clay in April but Shvedova has more experience of the bigger occasion.

However recent form gives Bartens a slight edge for me.

 

Dimitrov v Bagdhatis should be a great match. Baggy starts as underdog at 2.60 . Dimitrov is the more consistent server although on his day Baghdatis can serve as well as anyone. Without his serve being at its best Baggy has little chance here so I will be waiting to see how he starts. I’d prefer a higher price on Dimitrov too.

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