Wimbledon 2012 – week 1, Wednesday

We had the first rain delays yesterday. Bizarrely they didn’t use the roof on Centre Court. Now I know their argument is that its an outdoor tournament and closing the roof makes it effectively an indoor court but other events use the roof. Why spend squillions on it if you don’t want to use it?? In Germany recently they paused a game for 5 minutes while they closed their roof. Did Wimbledon get theirs from LIDL? Is that why it takes around 40 minutes to close the roof and get the atmosphere inside correct? The “Committee” decided it was far better to keep the paying public hanging around for half an hour in the rain before telling them that play was suspended for the day…….ON A COURT WITH A FRIGGIN’ ROOF!!!

Ok, breeeeeeathe.

So this means we have even more matches to fit in today. Yesterday saw last year’s quarter finalist Tomic going out in the first round to Goffin. James Ward won against Andujar in 5 sets although he did start as a strong favourite.

Kohlschreiber got revenge over Tommy Haas in a 5 set battle and Murray cruided past a disappointing Davydenko for the loss of just 6 games ( 4 of them in the third set)

it looked like Schiavone was out when Laura Robson came out serving like Raonic and returning like Djokovic. Having lost the opening set 2-6 the Italian then called for the trainer for a back problem. She then came back to win the next 2 sets!

Baltacha came through an odd 3 setter with Knapp where both players were injured. Another Brit, Keothvong came through in straight sets.

 

Today’s matches:

A lot of today’s favourites don’t look like losing and don’t offer too much value pre-match. Best to monitor all matches on Slamtracker and look for favourites who are a break down early.

 

Monaco again starts at a decent price of 1.66 although today’s opponent Chardy will put up more of a fight. Neither player has a great pedigree on grass and whilst I expect Chardy to take at least a set I am going for a Monaco win. A better start from Chardy and therefore a higher price on Monaco is quite possible. I’ll be waiting to get on him above evens.

Update:We didn’t get evens as Monaco broke straight away and was ahead the whole match. Chardy won the second set but Monaco broke straight away in the third.

Monaco won 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6

 

Florian Mayer could have a few problems with Fellow German Petzschner if Petz can keep serving as he did last week. Both had straight sets wins in the first round. Their only previous match in a Grand Slam was in the OZ Open in 2010 where Petz took the first 2 sets 6-0, 6-2 before losing in 5 sets. I think I’ll wait for a lower price on Mayer before laying him. This should be close.

Update: Petzschner broke early and again went on to take a 2 set lead. History repeated itself as Mayer came back to win in 5 sets.

Mayer won 3-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-2, 6-4.

 

Watson seems way too low against Jamie Hampton at 1.46. Yes she is playing well but so is Hampton. Watson won their only previous match very easily last year but I think this will be a tight match.

Update: Looks like this is a good match-up for Watson. She won 6-1, 6-4.

 

Berdych-slayer Gulbis is on court again today. Can he continue the form he showed in that match on Monday? He is up against Poland’s Janowicz who beat him in Rome last month on the clay. An interesting stat I saw on Tennis Insight is that Gulbis has never won a Grand slam match having lost the opening set. (16 matches). Matches like the one Gulbis played against Berdych don’t come along often for lower ranked players. Gulbis is very much a confidence player and I think if Janowicz can start well ( and he has the serve to do that) then Gulbis may come back down to earth with a bump. One to watch before getting involved. If Gulbis can read the Pole’s serve then he SHOULD have the better all round game to win in 4 sets. 

Update: I didn’t trade this one in the end but Janowicz won 2-6, 6-4, 3-6, 7-6, 9-7.

 

Kirilenko looks a good pick to beat Dominguez Lino although the Spaniard has taken her to 3 sets in their previous 2 matches. I’ll wait for the higher price in the first 2 or 3 games.

Update: No higher price. Easy win for Kirilenko 6-1, 6-2.

    Trading Guide

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