Wimbledon 2012 – week 2, Monday

So not TOO many rain delays last week considering the state of our Summer so far. However the BBC had their weather lady at Wimbledon this morning and we have rain forecast for every day up to Thursday.

Saturday saw Rosol go out in straight sets. It was quite funny to listen to the commentator  who couldn’t understand why he wasn’t playing the same way he did against Nadal as Kohlschreiber tore him a new one.

Brian Baker continues in the tournament with a 4 sets win over Paire. Cilic and Querrey played out a bit of an epic with Cilic winning 17-15 in the 5th set. Roddick took Ferrer by surprise in the first set taking a 4-0 leadbut normal service was resumed from the second set onwards as Ferrer came through in 4 sets.

Baghdatis put up a decent fight for 3 sets and won the second. However with the prospect of the match being stopped at 11pm Murray turned up the heat and managed to win the 4th set 6-1 finishing a couple of minutes after 11.

Paszek came close to going out as Wickmayer served superbly. The Austrian won 7-5 in the third. Serena Williams scraped through 9-7 in the third.

Last but not least is Shvedova v Errani. The top 10 player, Errani, understandably started as very strong favourite after her impressive run of form. I’d never even heard of a Golden Set. I called it a Super Bagel on Twitter. Shvedova won the opening set 6-0 which would have been remarkable enough. What made it special was that Errani didn’t win a single point!

 

 

 

Today’s Matches:

Youzhny is strong favourite to beat Istomin. Istomin did beat him back in 2009 but Youzhny was injured and retired early in the second set. Youzhny played superbly to beat Tipsarevic in the last round. However 1.43 is too low. This is one to watch the opening games and feed your stake in as the price spikes higher. As always an early Istomin break would be perfect to get on Youzhny around evens.

Update: Youzhny won 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, 6-7, 7-5.

 

Vinci doesn’t have the serve to hurt Paszek like Wickmayer did. 1.65 seems a healthy price to me. Vinci hasn’t lost a set so far but hasn’t come up against anyone with Paszek’s power.

Update: Easy for Paszek. 6-2, 6-2.

 

Giorgi has had a great Wimbledon so far picking up wins over Pennetta and Petrova. She hasn’t lost a set. Its the end of the road though today as she meets Radwanska. Agnieszka has had a couple of poor matches recently but also hasn’t dropped a set in this tournament. In her last 2 matches against Watson and Vesnina she lost a total of 5 games. We can hope for Rad to be broken early but otherwise I’ll be leaving this one.

Update: Radwanska won 6-2, 6-3.

 

Cilic’s serve is obviously working really well and will cause Murray problems. Murray starts at the same price that he was in their 2 matches in 2010 ( the last matches they played ). Cilic won a set in each match. Cilic’s only win over Murray came in 2009’s US Open when Murray was number 2 in the world.

Who knows how Murray will play? So often in the past he has started well but then gone out of a tournament with a wimper. There were signs against Baggy that he was in pain and his hand went to his side under his right arm. Never on a point that he lost though so we can probably ignore it as a Murrayism.

Is 1.23 a good price to back Murray against Cilic? Ofcourse it isn’t. Cilic will take at least 1 set and if he can keep his serve going and take the chances that Murray will undoubtedly give him then the big Croat has the ability on grass to take this very close.

 

Brian Baker has a really tough day ahead. Kohlschreiber is playing consistently well and his serve has been much more reliable. They haven’t played before and i want to have a look at the first few games but I expect Kohlschreiber to be too strong. However I certainly won’t be backing him below 1.80.

 

Gasquet will have no problems with Florian Mayer but the starting price of 1.25 offers no value. You just never know with tennis players. No one expected Ferrer to lose the first 4 games against Roddick.

Update: I got this one wrong! Haven’t seen Mayer play like he has done in the first set for a long time. A double break to take the set. Not sure if he can keep that going as he didn’t play at this level last week….

 

 

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3 thoughts on “Wimbledon 2012 – week 2, Monday”

    1. Hi Jim,
      Thanks for the comment. Good to know the odd famous person reads my scribblings 🙂
      Very interesting read.

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