S Williams v A Radwanska:
Anything can happen in tennis. Almost. Does anyone really believe that Radwanska can beat Serena in a Wimbledon final without the intervention of injury, plague or sniper’s rifle? As it’s Serena the thought of a sniper lining her up in the cross-hairs has a certain appeal but in the real world it is more a matter of how many games Radwanksa wins as Williams takes her 5th Wimbledon title.
They have played twice before with both matches being in 2008. They included a quarter final at Wimbledon. In both matches Radwanska won just 4 games.
Radwanska isn’t without any chance and has great court-craft. She relies on ball placement more than power. It is rumoured that Serena’s concept of ball placement involves not allowing them to be seen through her underwear when she reaches up to serve. She will be trying to over power her opponent and it has worked well for her so far.
I would love Radwanska to win this but I aren’t a believer.
Williams is currently 1.17 which has probably been pushed a little lower than it should be by the once-a-year tennis punters who haven’t heard of Radwanska.
Radwanska +5.5 games is 1.94 . A loss of 6-4, 6-3 would be enough for this to win but that needs her to limit Williams to a single break so Williams -5.5 games at 2.04 is more attractive.
Update: I didn’t expect 3 sets but even though Williams looked in control for the vast majority of the match but a break at the end of the second set sent us into a decider.
Williams won 6-1, 5-7, 6-2.