Wimbledon 2013 – Week 1, Friday

Yesterday was a real anticlimax  after the drama  of Wednesday. We have 6 matches carried over due to rain delays.

 

Stakhovsky looks to continue his excellent tournament following his defeat of Federer. As we know when a player beats a top opponent they so often fade away in the next round. Stak doesn’t get a lot of media attention which is a huge distraction from his preparation for the next match. Also despite him having a day’s rest in between matches I suspect he will have had at least 1 disturbed night’s sleep.

His next opponent is Melzer who is probably playing his last Wimbledon. So far he has performed well and clearly if he is going to lose he intends to go down fighting.

Stak’s serving stats over the last 3 months are ahead of Melzer’s but Melzer leads the return of serve stats.

If Stakhovsky can reproduce his level from the Fed match then he is rightly the favourite. The big difference today is that he is expected to win.

Lots of unknowns going into this match but I am leaning towards Melzer.

Update: Stak was broken in the very first game which set the tone. Excellent match from Melzer.

Melzer won 6-2, 2-6, 7-5, 6-3.

 

Bartoli has played Giorgi just once before which was in Strasbourg last month. Giorgi won comfortably in straight sets. Bartoli was having an absolute nightmare from the service line last month but she seems to have put that behind her.

She withdrew from Eastbourne before her match with Li Na but has won both her matches at Wimbledon in straight sets.

Giorgi had a great win over Cirstea in the last round winning in 2 tie break sets ( particularly good for the Betting Tips). In that match she double faulted 11 times and committed 36 unforced errors. She also gave Cirstea 18 break point chances.

Bartoli has double faulted “just” 9 times in her 2 matches although she did allow McHale 12 break points in her last match. Just 3 break points for Svitolina in round 1.

Bartoli starts at 1.56 but we will get a higher entry in the early games. 1.80 would be great to start with as I see her taking this one.

Update: A good effort by Giorgi but Bartoli was too strong.

Bartoli won 6-4, 7-5.

 

Janowicz is excellent on grass but Almagro is no slouch either.  Almagro won their only previous match in this year’s Australian Open although his form lately has been a  little questionable.

Although he is seen as a clay court player Almagro has a huge serve that will do damage to anyone on grass.  Their serve stats for the last 3 months are the same but Almagro is well ahead in the return of serve stats. However he never seems to go for the break in the first set and has more close opening sets than most players.

We should see at least 1 tie break and I am favouring Almagro’s experience to be the difference. 4 or 5 sets.

Update: Almagro immediately broke serve and looked to be in control but in line with his recent form he folded like wet cardboard and wasted a 4-1 lead.

Janowicz won 7-6, 6-3, 6-4.

 

 

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