Wimbledon 2013 – week 1, Wednesday

What the hell was Laura Robson on yesterday?? You will often see players play like that for 2 or 3 games but she just kept hitting the lines for 2 sets. She served well too and gave Kirilenko so few chances to break.

No real surprises on the Men’s side. Nine 5 set matches yesterday compared to just 1 on Monday.

In the women’s tournament Goerges went out in 3 sets though are we ever surprised when she loses? Pavlyuchenkova was battered 6-0, 6-1 by Pironkova and petrova went out in straight sets.

 

Wozniacki starts as a 1.40 favourite against Cetkovska who knocked out Vekic in the first round.  Cetkovska was ranked 25 in the world this time last year and has come back to the tour after a 6 month break. She reached the third round at the French Open and has come through the qualifying rounds at Wimbledon.

Woz reached the semi finals last week in Eastbourne and has shown better form in recent weeks. I would expect her to win this one but I think she will trade higher. 1.70 feels like a decent entry.

Update: Wozniacki went an early break down although that’s nothing unusual. However shortly after she had a fall and hurt her ankle. She continued but Cetkovska played a smart match and moved her around well.

Cetkovska won 6-2, 6-2.

 

Steve Darcis is back on court and back down to earth with a bump. His match with Kubot has been put on court 17 which seems a little harsh as there is bound to be a lot of interest in the player who dumped Nadal out in straight sets.

The grass certainly doesn’t do anything to ease Nadal’s knee problems and it was his first match on the surface this year but Darcis took his chances and played well above his normal level. Is he likely to suffer a let-down after that match? Possibly. It has to rank as the biggest win of his career although he beat Berdych in straight sets at last year’s Olympics. Darcis isn’t a kid though and at 29 he has been around long enough to know why he was able to beat Nadal. There won’t be any fatigue issues as he won in 3 sets and if he can serve well again today I expect him to be able to get past Kubot in 4 sets.

Kubot lost in the first round in Halle and didn’t make it through qualification in Holland.

Update: Darcis withdrew before the match with a shoulder injury.

 

Kvitova has a pretty good record at Wimbledon. She reached the quarter final last year losing to Serena, won the title in 2011 and reached the semis in 2010 again losing to Serena. Her form coming into this year’s tournament is less than spectacular. She lost to Wickmayer last week although it has to be said that Wickmayer was enjoying a couple of Robson-esque days that week.

Her serve hasn’t been as reliable as she needs it to be. When her serve fails her game fails. In her first round match against Vandeweghe she served just 2 aces and 5 double faults. She can be frustrating to trade as she often wastes break points going for big winners rather than making sure she gets the return in play. In that match she took just 5 of 15 break points.

Shvedova served 4 double faults and didn’t hit an ace in her match with Bertens but she did win 70% of points  on first serve. She was also wasteful of break points taking 5 of 12. She only gave Bertens 2 break points but both were converted.

They have played just once which was at the \French Open last year which Kvitova won in 3 sets. As long as her serve doesn’t fall apart I expect her to take this match but won’t be backing at 1.40 . Again, 1.70 is the magic number.

Update: Shvedova withdrew before the match.

 

Janowicz won’t have played anyone like Stepanek unless he has ever been abducted by aliens.  Stepanek can be an awkward player on grass but problems in his private life have distracted him recently.  He loves to come to the net and Janowicz loves a target at the net so whilst I don’t expect straight sets I think Janowicz will be able to hit through Stepanek once he has had a set to work him out.

Update: Stepanek retired in the second set.

    Trading Guide

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