Wimbledon 2013 – Women’s Quarter Finals

So this is the part of a grand slam that I don’t like. The matches are great and usually top quality but there are so few of them. 4 matches on and they put 2 on at 1pm and 2 at 3pm. At least I should get the garden finished this week!

 

Radwanska v Li is a tough one to call. Radwanska reached the final last year although that was the first time she ever made it past the quarter final stage. Venus and Serena knocked her out at this stage in 2009 and 2008 .

Li has the potential to play the stronger tennis and I feel that it is down to her who progresses. She has shown some of her best form in this tournament particularly in sets 1 and 3 against Halep. Her form was patchy against Zakopalova but at least she showed she is up for a fight.

If Li brings her A game it doesn’t matter how well Radwanska plays.

Update: Li lost the match in the opening set. She served for the set at 5-4 and had set point and an easy smash but didn’t put it away. In the tie break she had a 5-3 lead but lost.

Radwanska won 7-6, 4-6, 6-2.

 

Lisicki had an excellent win over most people’s favourite for the title Serena Williams. Williams wasn’t at her best but Lisicki played some aggressive tennis and played the big points really well.

Lisicki also beat the world number 1 at the same stage last year. That time it  was Sharapova. She lost the quarter final to Kerber although she started as underdog. This is her 4th quarter final and she has won just 1 of them so far.

Kanepi broke Robson’s heart in their 4th round match and fully deserves her place in the quarters. This is her second time in the quarter finals. She lost to Kvitova in 3 sets in 2010.

Lisicki starts as a strong favourite at 1.36 which I feel is too low. There is a chance of a let down after beating Williams. Kanepi isn’t usually good at closing out matches but it has to be said she has been much better in that department in this tournament.

I think we see Lisicki trading higher and Kanepi may even nick the first set but I expect to see Lisicki’s name in the semi finals.

Update: A little easier than expected.

Lisicki won 6-3, 6-3.

 

Kvitova starts at 1.44 against Flipkens. She obviously has the better Wimbledon pedigree as she won the title in 2011 but she has a negative head to head record against Flipkens.

In their only match in the last 2 years Flipkens beat her in Miami in March this year. They have never played on grass.

Their stats over the last month are remarkably similar. Service holds 72%, return points won 45%. Kvitova wins slightly more points against first serves while Flipkens wins slightly more points against second serves.  Even the scores from their 4th round matches were the same (7-6, 6-3).

I have a sneaky feeling that Flipkens will either take this match or at least come very close to the win. I will be laying Kvitova, preferably below 1.30 .

Update: Flipkens won 4-6, 6-3, 6-4.

 

Serena Williams has tipped Sloane Stephens to win the title. Tennis players are crap at predicting matches! Stephens has looked shaky in my opinion. Petkovic gave her real problems despite her hating grass. She was also quite fortunate that Puig ran out of steam in their 3 set match in the 4th round. Stephens often takes an age to get her game going.

Bartoli knows what it takes to reach a Wimbledon Final. She came into the tournament in poor form but that was mainly down to her performances from the service line. She has sorted out her serve and has yet to lose a set this tournament.

Their prices start around evens so I expect the price to bounce around a lot in the early games as traders try to decide who is strongest.

I expect Bartoli to start the quickest and she will probably be helped by Stephens. If the American goes a set down she will find it a tough mountain to climb to take her place in the semi finals.

Update: Bartoli missed break chances early in the match but won a late break after the rain delay. 

Bartoli won 6-4, 7-5.

 

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