Wimbledon 2014 – Week 1, Day 2

No major surprises in the men’s event yesterday although I thought Verdasco and Seppi would win. Fognini looked like he was in tank mode but came back from 2 sets down to beat Kuznetsov.

There were a few more unexpected results on the women’s side with Stosur and Stephens going out. Aww what a shame Sloane. Still think you’re a superstar?

We have a few matches to finish from yesterday due to the rain.

 

WTA, 11:30Razzano often lifts her game for the big events, at least for a round or 2. Her recent form hasn’t been so good though although she did beat Pliskova on grass earlier this month.

Begu found some form and consistency in the clay season. She reached the semi finals in Portugal before falling to Suarez Navarro. She isn’t great on grass and only has 2 main draw wins on her record.

Razzano starts at 1.69 which is probably a fair price. I will back her with part stake at the start and wait to add the rest above evens.

Update: Razzano ran away with the first set. She was broken at 4-5 in the second set and they went into a third. The lead swung several times but it was Begu who took it.

Begu won 1-6, 6-4, 7-5.

 

ATP, 11:30Kubot had an excellent tournament last season reaching the quarter finals. in 2012 he met Cilic in the second round and lost but made the 4th round in 2011.

Struff was a qualifier last year but still made the second round of the main draw. That tournament gave him his first main tour wins on grass including qualifying rounds. He has lost 2 of the 3 matches he has played on this surface since.

Kubot starts as slight underdog but if he can find his usual Wimbledon inspiration he has a great chance here and is my pick to win.

Update: Kubot won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.

 

ATP, 11:30Wawrinka doesn’t have a great record on grass. He has however started to see improvements since working with Magnus Norman who has helped the Swiss player take his game to the next level. He reached the final in Holland last season and made the semi finals at Queens Club but was very poor against Dimitrov. He went out in straight sets to Hewitt in the first round of Wimbledon.

Sousa is known more for his clay court play but has started to improve on other surfaces in recent months. he reached the semi final in  s-Hertogenbosch last week as a qualifier. His big serve could keep him in this match but as he played 6 matches in the last tournament I don’t know if he has the legs to fight for 5 sets.

Wawrinka certainly isn’t a 1.28 shot here though and I will be surprised if that doesn’t trade a lot higher in the first set. I think if Sousa is to win this he needs to get the job done in straight sets which I don’t see happening.

I will lay Wawrinka at the start but look to switch the green to him if Sousa takes the first set.

Update: Wawrinka struggled in his second service game but that was the extent of the Sousa pressure.

Wawrinka won 6-3, 6-4, 6-3.

 

WTA, 14:00Madison Keys won her first title last week. She has never beaten Puig although both their previous matches were on clay. On grass Keys has a definite edge but I feel her price of 1.35 is too low.  She could be a little distracted by her win last week and could start slowly. Puig is a fighter but if her opponent is on her game she won’t be able to stay with her for the whole match. Wait for a higher entry on Keys. 1.60 would be nice.

Update: Keys won 6-3, 6-3.

 

WTA, 18:30Pavlyuchenkova v Riske could be an interesting one.

Riske beat her in January in straight sets and is slight favourite for this one at 1.85 .

She may not have such as easy match this time. Pavlyuchenkova beat Radwanska in Eastbourne. Her Wimbledon record isn’t good though and lost last year in the first round.

I am favouring Riske to win again but I want to back her if she goes an early break behind.

I think we will see a much closer match than their last one with a few breaks for both players.

Update: Pavlyuchenkova took the opening set but Riske fought back to win 4-6, 7-5, 6-1.

 

 

As always, Tradeshark Tennis members can get extra advice before and during matches in the members chatroom.

 

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