Wimbledon day 5

Cibulkova v Vesnina

Rankings of 13 and 37 suggest that Cibulkova will take this one but Vesnina is 2-1 up in head-to-heads. She has won their last 2 meetings although one was due to a retirement. The market has them close with Cibulkova at 2.24 and Vesnina 1.80 . Cibulkova should be stronger on grass and if I had to pick a winner it would be her but there have been a few strange results here already! Looks perfect for the 15-40 strategy.

Update: Well I got the winner wrong but called it spot on that this would be perfect for the 15-40 strategy. I lost count of the breaks of serve. 5 in the first set! If you had backed Cibulkova from the start you could have greened up after she went 3-0 up in the first set and her price dropped to 1.50

Karlovic v Tsonga

The market has Tsonga at 1.60 which I see as good value on the Frenchman. He won’t have an easy match today and will need to be in top form to get past Karlovic. Having said that,  Karlovic can be inconsistent and he will have to take his chances in the early couple of sets. I would be wary of backing Tsonga from the start and either the 15-40 method or wait for the break will be the way to go. My tip is Tsonga to win in 4 sets

Today’s second “tip” shows why I am a trader and not a gambler! Tsonga hasn’t managed to continue his great form at the end of last season and Karlovic took full advantage. Not much to trade on in the first 2 sets ( both tiebreaks) but after that there were opportunites, especially when Karlovic broke serve at the end of the 3rd set to win it 7-5. Another break in the 4th gave him the match. 15-40 would have brought a nice green figure

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