In recent years we have not had many surprises in the eventual winner. This time around it could be interesting. Murray is not 100% fit. Apparently he may be making some sort of announcement before the tournament starts.
Djokovic has been well below his best for a while now. He has just won the title in Eastbourne and looked a little more like is old self. I don’t think his problems were physical. He has seemed happier this week
Federer won the title again in Halle. He has been limiting his tournaments this season and did not play on clay. He won the Australian Open title after playing very little tennis before the tournament.
Let’s have a look who has a chance of making the quarter finals.
Murray’s section. If he was fit this would be a decent draw for him. His third round opponent is likely to be Fognini who should not trouble him at his best. Pouille or Kyrgios in the 4th round could be where the wheels come off. As Kyrgios has also had injury issues I’d favour Pouille to win their probable third round encounter.
The other half of this section is quite strong. Wawrinka usually shows up for the slams. Tsonga and Querrey will meet in the third round. Wawrinka should come up against Anderson in his third round match. Tsonga and Wawrinka would be a cracking match in the 4th round and as its a slam I’d go with Wawrinka.
Predicted quarter final: Pouille v Wawrinka
Nadal has looked like the old Nadal when he really was the King of Clay. He has added something extra to his game which is a little more power to his serve. Whilst I don’t see him winning the title I expect him to make the second week. He is unlikely to be challenged until he meets Muller in the 4th round and even then he should win that match. His half of the section is really quite weak.
In the other half we have Cilic who missed out on the title at Queens Club. He played extremely well that week. Florian Mayer did well in Halle and should meet Cilic in the second round. Steve Johnson should play the winner of that match with Nishikori or Bautista Agut being the other contenders for a quarter final place..
Nishikori v Cilic would be an interesting match and is a tough one to call.
Predicted quarter final: Nadal v Nishikori
This is Federer’s section. He has a decent draw in the early rounds. Mischa Zverev and John Isner would be his expected opponents in the third and 4th rounds respectively. Dimitrov might beat Isner in the third round and meet Federer in the 4th. That could be a decent match.
The other half of this section sees Raonic, Sock and Alex Zverev fighting it out for the quarter final place. Raonic should be safe up to the 4th round although he could meet Thompson in the third round. That could be a good warm up for Raonic.
Sock and Zverev should meet in the third round as long as Haase doesn’t have an inspired serving performance against Zverev.
Predicted quarter final: Raonic v Federer
Djokovic’s section. He doesn’t have an easy draw. Del Potro could give him problems in the third round. Monfils should get past Edmund as long as his injury is sorted. It didn’t seem to trouble him too much in the Eastbourne final. Monfils and Lopez are likely to meet in the third round. Lopez would have to get past Sugita who has just won the title in Antalya.
Lopez and Djokovic would be set to meet in the 4th round.
The other half of the section has Berdych, Thiem and Gasquet. All 3 of those are capable of reaching the quarter final. Gasquet and Berdych will play in the third round and Thiem has the slightly easier draw and will play the winner.
Predicted quarter final: Gasquet v Djokovic
Djokovic and Federer could meet in the semi finals and if I had to pick the other finalist I would go with Wawrinka.