Wimbledon – week 1, Tuesday

More rain forcast for later today. Great. Lets hope we can get through the majority of matches before the heavens open.

 

Rochus plays De Schepper. 1.40 seems a little short although Rochus reached the quarter finals last week losing out to eventual winner Seppi in 3 sets. De Shepper only seems to have ever played 2 matches on Grass with 1 win although Tennis Insight dont know how tall the guy is or which hand he plays with! Rochus won’t lose this over 5 sets.

Update: I’m sure they do this on purpose. Rochus went 2 sets down but he came back to win 6-7, 3-6, 6-3, 6-1, 6-4.

 

Lu v Robredo.  Robredo retired from his match with Troicki back in April and hasn’t played a competitive match since. Lu reached the quarter final at Wimbledon last year and seems to play his best tennis on grass. Robredo, even if fit, has to be rusty and he will take at least a few games to find his timing on the grass courts.  Robredo lost in the first round last year so there is no motivation from defending points. I think he will be using this match to regain some match fitness. I’ll be backing Lu from the start with half stakes.

Update: Lu won 6-4, 6-4, 6-1.

 

Bernard Tomic starts as favourite against Davydenko at 1.63!  The young Aussie  impressed at the Australian Open but its another matter to do it away from the comfortable familiarity  of your own country. He has 9 wins from 11 on grass this year and reached the semi finals of the Nottingham Challenger event. Davy’s record on grass isn’t too good and he hasn’t played since  he lost in the second round of the French Open. Davydenko’s form has been erratic to say the least. Amazingly he managed to win the BMW Open in May but most of his matches have been disappointments. The lack of grass matches this year has to be another disadvantage. I’ll wait to see how they start but this is a great chance for Tomic to claim a “big” scalp.

Update: Great performance from Tomic. He won 7-5, 6-3, 7-5.

 

Seppi v Montanes: Seppi comes here after an unexpected tournament win at Eastbourne. Montanes leads the head to heads 3-0 although all 3 matches were on clay. Quite often when a player wins the previous week’s tournament they go out in the first round of the next as their motivation is low. However this is Wimbledon and you would imagine that is motivation enough. Seppi however may well be tired as he isn’t used to playing a full week’s schedule so I am going for a lay on him at 1.40 . The longer the match goes on the more it favours Montanes. One word of warning though. Montanes hasn’t played on grass this season and its possible he will start slow.

Update: Seppi keeps his run going. He won 6-4, 6-4, 7-5.

 

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2 thoughts on “Wimbledon – week 1, Tuesday”

  1. While I also think its weird that Rochus lost those 2 sets I dont believe it was on purpose…

    What makes you say that?

    It allowed for a big profit in Rochus still =)

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