World Tour Finals 2012, Tuesday

So Murray and Djokovic chalked up their first wins of the week. Murray needed to come back from a set down to Berdych whereas Djokovic came through in straight sets against Tsonga but the Frenchman had his chances to break in the first set and narrowly missed out in the tie break.

 

Federer starts his campaign this afternoon and it’s hard to imagine thqat he won’t also get his week off to a winning start. He leads the head to heads 5-0  over Tipsarevic. The Serb’s favourite surface is indoor hard courts and its where he plays his best tennis. Unfortunately for him you can also say exactly the same about Federer.

Federer has lost to worse players than Tipsarevic and his starting price of 1.13 is cheap enough and we will get 1.07 to 1.08 pretty quickly but let’s face it, if Tipsarevic wins this one it will be a massive upset.

Update: No real contest. Federer won 6-3, 6-1.

 

This evening’s match should be a lot more interesting.  David Ferrer is “fresh” from his first Masters win and his focus shifts to the similarly paced courts in the O2 Arena. Ferrer leads the head to heads over Del Potro 4-2.

Del Potro always starts as favourite in the matches except in their single clay court encounter where the prices were reversed. Once again today Del Potro is favourite although at 1.82 its the highest SP to date away from the dirt.

The slower court naturally favours Ferrer. he comes into this match full of confidence. Often when a player wins a title their performance dips in the first match the following week. That can be put down to fatigue after a long previous week or even the fact that they have a fat cheque in their back pocket and their ranking has been boosted. The motivation to drag heavy legs onto a tennis court the following week can be diminished but I don’t expect that today from Ferrer. He is supremely fit so I wouldn’t expect him to feel any sort of fatigue until later in the week.

Del Potro won the Swiss Open 2 weeks ago beating Federer in the final. Last week in Paris he wasn’t exactly busting a gut to go deep into that tournament. Playing Llodra who was enjoying his week in front of the home crowd and his family was an easy game to let slip for Del Potro. He comes in this week fresh and ready to go.

If the courts were faster then I would be siding with the Argentinian whose form has peaked right at the end of the season. He has done incredibly well to get back into the top 10 so quickly after his extended absence through injury.

However on slightly slower courts I am going with Ferrer. One thing to be wary of is his serve. It served him well last week ( sorry) but can be his achilles heel.

Update: Ferrer led in the final set 4-2 but was pulled back to 4-4. He then won the next 8 points to win 6-3, 3-6, 6-4.

 

 

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