Bouchard won their only previous meeting. It was in June 2016 on grass and she won in 3 sets.
Not surprisingly stats over the last year and also recently favour Konta. She was playing well last week and then strangely lost to Siniakova in the semi finals. This week she hasn’t dropped a set although had to work hard to beat Kasatkina.
Bouchard made a shaky start last week losing to Rogers in Brisbane. She has really improved her level this week with 3 straight sets wins as underdog.
It’s hard to know if or when players will want to rest for the big tournament the following week. Konta reached the semi finals at the Australian Open last year. At slams they get a day’s rest between matches so if they’re really interested in the current tournament they can go for it in both tournaments.
Some value on Bouchard and I think she can take a set.