WTA Australian Open, Q Final: Vandeweghe v Muguruza (02:00)

Vandeweghe leads their previous meetings 2-1. Their most recent match was in August 2016 on a hard court in Cincinnati. Muguruza won in straight sets. Vandeweghe’s 2 wins were on grass.

Vandeweghe has a great chance tonight if she can maintain her level of play.

Stats this year don’t really favour either player. They are quite closely matched. Vandeweghe has beaten better opponents including defending champ and world number 1 Kerber. Only Bouchard took a set from her. I will be very surprised if she does not take at least a set as long as she can maintain her level of play. She has been very aggressive so far and there is a fine line between hitting the line and hitting the ball kids.

Muguruza’s mind can wander mid match. Whilst she has not lost a set so far she had a couple of tough matches to start the week.

This should be a great match. Value is on Vandeweghe. Lay Muguruza if she breaks first. Three sets seem likely.

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